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What projections do you like best?

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Re: What projections do you like best?

Postby OBPlover » Mon Mar 25, 2013 9:43 pm

Marketing is a problem with all those projection systems. Usually there is something to be sold either directly or from the website or company behind them. They are usually based on using standard 3 year statistical averages. That sounds good and they will show a record of consistency - but remember a lot of that is by predicting good things out of consistently good players (Miggy, braun etc) AND consistency useless players. They seldom make any bold predictions. As they say in poker.. they don't play to win, they play "not to lose".
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What projections do you like best?

Postby wingman3110 » Tue Mar 26, 2013 1:00 pm

Has anyone seen Zips projections on Anthony Rizzo?! Am I missing something here...
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Re: What projections do you like best?

Postby Skin Blues » Tue Mar 26, 2013 1:56 pm

A lot of places seem very high on Rizzo. Both Steamer and ZiPS project him at over 30 HR and over .275 BA.Can't believe he was dealt for Cashner. Although I'm targeting Cashner in my drafts too, along with Rizzo (own them both in the two leagues I've drafted).
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Re: What projections do you like best?

Postby wingman3110 » Tue Mar 26, 2013 2:12 pm

I dont get it? They're higher on Rizzo than Gonzalez, Goldschmidt, and Encarnacion. Heck they've got him for more HR/RBI/RUNS than Votto, Pujols and Fielder :-?
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Re: What projections do you like best?

Postby stlcardsfan » Wed Jan 29, 2014 11:44 am

What are you guys thoughts on LionStats:

They're claiming better accuracy than PECOTA and ESPN using networks.

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Re: What projections do you like best?

Postby HTown14 » Thu Jan 30, 2014 9:55 am

Neural networks are supposed to be a lot more accurate than the k-nearest neighbors models that PECOTA relies so heavily on. I may give their projections a try this year to see how it works.
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