hey guys, in my 13-team / 6-keeper 5x5 yahoo roto league i've got the first pick in the upcoming draft. everyone's got their 6 keepers so there's a solid pool of players to choose from, and i'm wondering who you lot think i should go with.
edit: there are no restrictions on how long you can keep someone, so whoever i get can stay on my team til the end of the world if that's what i wanna do.
going into the draft i've kept albert pujols, andrew mccutchen, jason kipnis, mark trumbo, felix hernandez, and yu darvish.
some of the players available who i can get include...
offense: jose reyes, justin upton, paul goldschmidt, brett lawrie, adrian gonzalez, joe mauer, hanley ramirez, and pretty much anyone below that (figure all of your profar/taveras/wil-myers/eaton type prospects arr there)
pitching: madison bumgarner, jordan zimmerman, adam wainwright, aroldis chapman, matt harvey, and of course a cornucopia of relievers that aren't craig kimbrel.
so yeah, given that this year i'm probably going to look to see if i can get a solid deal for pujols and or felix (depending on how he's doing juxtaposed with yu potentially taking the next step to the low 3s / high 2s) obviously the names that stand out to me are upton, lawrie, and bumgarner. my gut reaction said bumgarner, seeing as he's showing a nice upward trend and has been a consistent guy with nice k-rates and has worked his way through adversity, be it shaky performances and/or bad luck.
however, even tho lawrie has ANOTHER damn injury this spring and last year's ~.280/11/50/10 or whatever didn't set the world on fire, he's always a tantalizing pick. it probably wouldn't surprise anyone if he managed to do .280/25/80/20 or something this year, however he's yet to do it. and justin upton.... well we all know that if he puts it all together he's fully capable of a nice solid 20/20 season and maybe even 30/30 if everything works out... he's 25 and after a down year last year he's available.
so what do you think.... who would you go with? if i haven't answered your question already be sure to leave a link to yours here so i can get to it. merci beaucoup!
jose reyes, justin upton, paul goldschmidt, brett lawrie, adrian gonzalez, joe mauer, hanley ramirez, and pretty much anyone below that (figure all of your profar/taveras/wil-myers/eaton type prospects arr there)
Of the guys you listed, it's definitely... no question ... has to be Justin Upton. With the number 1 pick, I would never take a pitcher, especially with all these great hitters available. You can draft a pitcher much later who can put up similar numbers to Bumgarner. You always go with the hitter early.
Upton is still very young and is a potential MVP candidate every year. Most experts are high on him this year, placing him better that the hitters you listed.
I like Lawrie too, but he hasn't proven anything yet. You can't trust that into a #1 pick. Upton has proven himself. Can easily be a 100-30-100-30 guy for years to come.
Upton or Goldschmidt. Probably Upton since you have Pujols at first already. That said, this might be the season to explore Pujols' trade value, and having a top option behind him makes that easier to stomach.
I wouldn't even consider Lawrie for this pick. He's a decent bat, but not in the same league as Justin Upton. I'm a bit biased as a Braves fan, but I think he could do well in this lineup. Heyward is going to have a great year, so he'll be on base a lot for Justin to drive him in. Hopefully, playing with his brother will bring out the competitive drive in Justin. You know he's got the talent.
Bumgarner is an intriguing pick here. I think he's going to have a great year. I've got him on my team. He's flying more under the radar than other top ten pitchers, but I think he could be at that level this year. Who knows? You might be able to get him in the next round. But there's no way Justin Upton will last another round. Take him now.
Thanks for help with mine. You made great points, and I tend to agree with you. It's just really tempting to add Braun to my lineup.