Depends on the league settings
A.For leagues containing more than 10 managers
Concerning Draft order?
Luck. First and second slots usually win league, even with snake drafts. The disparity is seen more in larger leagues than smaller leagues.
A.For leagues, containing 10 mangers, and using a shifting snake*** draft order
More Skill. Any sort of modified snake order should create a more equal playing field.
AA. Auction. Pure skill.
AA. Live Drafts. skill. Simple enough, you can correct on the go. Takes skill to know who's good and will likely fall, and etc
AA. Autodrafts luck. Silent drafts? Everyone ends up with a meh team in the end.
B.H2H has more luck, depends how streaky a player gets
B.Roto has more skill, stats accumulate
C.FAAB has more skill
C.Rolling list has more luck
D.Normal Free Agency has is more luck. (Where was I at that particular time when that closer got injured)
D.Continuous Waivers has more skill.
---Both have the question of (who of the next relievers is next in line)
Although the luck can be mitigated if the person has online access 24/7
E. Setting up rosters daily as to not miss a surging star
Skill. That is to best optimize the roster, and preparing a solid roster as to not have this problem overall.
E. Attending the roster daily
Skill. More you're active, more likely you're going to win
F. Finding the right player from free agency?
Skill, but that's dependent on the luck of the surging player.
G. Making the right trades
H. Sure the drafted player doesn't get injured or have a down year
H. Removing slumping players when time is appropriate. Knowing when to cut ties.
************ Competition. Other internet managers, will they be active or inactive?
Luck. Truly. People can win leagues if everyone else is inactive. It's hard to win leagues when all 10 guys are active.
*** Shifting snake
- Code: Select all
1st Round: 1-2-3-4-5-6-7-8-9-10
2nd Round: 10-9-8-7-6-5-4-3-2-1
3rd Round: 2-3-4-5-6-7-8-9-10-1
4th Round: 1-10-9-8-7-6-5-4-3-2
5th Round: 3-4-5-6-7-8-9-10-1-2
6th Round: 2-1-10-9-8-7-6-5-4-3
7th Round: 4-5-6-7-8-9-10-1-2-3
8th Round: 3-2-1-10-9-8-7-6-5-4
9th Round: 5-6-7-8-9-10-1-2-3-4
10th Roud: 4-3-2-1-10-9-8-7-6-5
So my ballpark numbers
H2H Yahoo Public Leagues: 15% Draft Order - Luck, 10% H2H format, 10% Drafted Player Injured, 5% Rolling Waivers, 10% Free Agency chase ===== 50% luck 50% skill
Roto Yahoo Public Leagues: 15% Draft Order - Luck, 10% Drafted Player Injured, 5% Rolling Waivers, 10% Free Agency chase ==== 40% luck 60% skill
Now. Is there such thing as skilled fantasy baseball players?
Yeah, they win leagues, win winner's leagues, have trophies all over their profile.
For a regular autopick yahoo public league, I'd say it's around 50/50.
How to lower luck?
Roto, <10 man league, Live drafts, Shifting snake Draft Order, Continuous Waivers with FAAB, Active managers