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Ranking my keeper options - WHIR 100%

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Ranking my keeper options - WHIR 100%

Postby plapre3 » Sat Feb 23, 2013 1:43 pm

It's that time of year! I'm setting my keepers and I need some help sussing out what I think is some incredible value. The league is pretty different than most in it's keeper structure, so the question I ask is as much about understanding league dynamics as it as about player evaluation. Here's the setup:
-----------------------------------------
6x6 weekly HtH 14 team roto keeper

Can keep up to 12 keepers with each player able to be kept at the previous draft round plus 3 (so a 10th round pick last year becomes a 7th round next year, and a 4th rounder the following year). A player picked off the WW is keepable at 29th round value. If more than one WW player is kept, they can be kept at 28, 27, 26, 25, etc. One player can be franchised and locked in at the round in which they were drafted forever (Trout!).

Offensive Categories:
BA, OPS, RBI, HR, SB and Runs Scored.
Pitching Categories:
W-L, S, ERA, K/IP, Quality Starts and WHIP
----------------------------------------------------

My Question: I get to keep 12 of these guys. Considering the round in which they can be kept and the player's overall outlook, which 12 would you keep?

11 (~ pick 154) - Yadier Molina
14 - Mark Trumbo
15 - Mike Trout
16 - Paul Goldschmidt, Addison Reed, Neil Walker
17 - Aroldis Chapman, Jon Niese
18 - Edwin Jackson
20 - Wil Myers
21 - Taijaun Walker

22-29 (All could be kept at 29, but since I only have one pick there, I have to use picks 28, 27, etc for subsequent players)
Greg Holland, Josh Reddick, Oscar Taveras, Dylan Bundy, Trevor Plouffe, Pedro Alvarez, Dan Straily, Mike Fiers, Josh Hammel, Ross Detwiler, Carlos Gomez, Marco Estrada, Grant Balfour
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Re: Ranking my keeper options - WHIR 100%

Postby plapre3 » Sat Feb 23, 2013 4:01 pm

Here's what I'm thinking:

1. Mike Trout (15)
2. Paul Goldschmidt (16)
3. Aroldis Chapman (17)
4. Dylan Bundy (29)
5. Greg Holland (25)
6. Mark Trumbo (14)
7. Oscar Taveras (28)
8. Josh Reddick (27)
9. Yadier Molina (11)
10. Wil Myers (20)
11. Pedro Alvarez (26)
12. Fiers/ Estrada/ Gomez (24)
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Re: Ranking my keeper options - WHIR 100%

Postby MadDog36 » Sat Feb 23, 2013 4:09 pm

1 -- 11 (~ pick 154) - Yadier Molina ;-D (a stud catcher in the mid rounds - I'll take it)
2 -- 14 - 3b/OF/CI Mark Trumbo ;-D (good power and RBI production in mid rounds - I'll take it)
3 -- 15 - OF Mike Trout ;-D (no brainer in the 15th)
4 -- 16 - 1b Paul Goldschmidt ;-D (good 1b in the late mid rounds why not?)
5 -- 17 - SP Aroldis Chapman ;-D (good young player decent value here - bit risk/rewardish)
6 -- 22-29 RP Greg Holland ;-D (a closer in the late rounds yep)
7 -- SP Dylan Bundy ;-D (starting year in rotation - your future ace only will cost you a late round pick the next few years why not)
8 -- RP Grant Balfour ;-D (a good closer in the late rounds why not?)
9 -- OF Josh Reddick ;-D (an OF in the tier of Pence/Hawpe/Willingham in their primes - what's not to like?)
10 - OF Carlos Gomez (He's showing signs of finally putting it all together - might become the next Beltran or Cargo - capable of it - good value with some power and speed in the late rounds as your last OF why not?)
11 -- 3b/CI Pedro Alvarez ;-D (a good 3b/CI with all kinds of power at a value steal - Gotta keep em)
12 -- OF Oscar Tavares (only costs you a last round pick, sure he's 22 but quite frankly he's playing so well I think he's got an outside shot at the majors this year, especially with a good showing in Spring training - one of the best prospects in the game - well worth a last round pick remember how these values will be for a few years as well)

I mean Trevor Plouffe I love his power and his potential MI eligibility in certain leagues - but guys like JJ Hardy should be available for late round power outta SS if you need it....and on top of that...Marco Estrada is a solid pick too but I'd rather go with the legit upside here and you have some insane value picks....Good luck.
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Re: Ranking my keeper options - WHIR 100%

Postby kvh_1fan » Sat Feb 23, 2013 6:38 pm

Molina, Trout, Goldy, Chapman, Trumbo, Bundy, Tavares are no brainers.

From there I'd say you should keep Reddick and Gomez (and try and trade them for upgrades before the shine wears off, I don't trust either of them).

I'd also keep Alvarez for that spot. To finish, I'd probably go Myers and Niese. It hought about Neil Walker but 2B is so weak you can replace his stats pretty easily with a guy.

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Re: Ranking my keeper options - WHIR 100%

Postby plapre3 » Sun Feb 24, 2013 5:02 pm

I'm kinda surprised that Wil Myers doesn't get much love. Any reason why?

He should provide some value this year and could be kept at round 17 in 2014, 14 in 2015, 11 in 2016 and so on.
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