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Worth Drafting Way Above ADP??

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Worth Drafting Way Above ADP??

Postby lambo1203 » Fri Feb 22, 2013 11:36 am

I'm in an 8-team ESPN H2H points league with our draft coming up in a few days. We start a normal MLB lineup + 2 util, 5 SP, 2 RP. My league's points system is very different from others (lots of extra points categories, especially for pitchers' bonuses) and while looking at ESPN's projections for my league, there are several players that jumped out at me. And comparing these players to their ADP, I don't really know if it's worth jumping up as high as our projected points suggest. Of this list, which, if any, would you draft significantly above ADP based on my league's points projections?? (And as always, leave a link and I'll help with yours!)

-Jose Bautista, projected 7th highest points in league, ADP 17
-Adrian Beltre, proj. 8th, ADP 23
-Edwin Encarnacion, proj. 9th, ADP 30
-Billy Butler, proj. 12th, ADP 44
-Mark Teixeira, proj. 17th, ADP 52
-James Shields, proj. 19, ADP 84
-Ben Zobrist, proj. 24, ADP 62
-Martin Prado, proj. 28, ADP 108

And just to show how crazy our scoring is, Mike Trout is projected to be our league's 30th highest scorer this year...so much for me taking him 1st in our first year of a keeper league.
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Re: Worth Drafting Way Above ADP??

Postby pjdeano04 » Fri Feb 22, 2013 12:07 pm

I'd consider Bautista and Tex higher than their ADP.
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Re: Worth Drafting Way Above ADP??

Postby BraveNation » Fri Feb 22, 2013 12:11 pm

Maybe Bautista, and I also think taking zobrist a bit earlier is ok too. After him the second base options are bleak at best. I am not high at all on teixera, not looking at him at all in any of my drafts unless he falls further, the same goes for shields and prado.
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Re: Worth Drafting Way Above ADP??

Postby Philly_05 » Fri Feb 22, 2013 12:29 pm

I wouldn't change my rankings drastically because of some different settings. Now if they fall into a good range that they are a value pick then sure. Like Tex I wouldn't take at 17 but if he was available in the late 20's early 30's that would be good value. No way I take Beltre at 8 or Encarnacion at 9. Maybe someone else will do that and push better players down. Prado could be a nice middle round jem that you can get on the cheap that projects to have great value in the setup. That's what I would look for. The guys who project to shoot up from the bottom. Not guys who are in the first few rounds that project as first rounders.
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