Ender wrote:Skin Blues wrote:Ender wrote:It would be insanely stupid for the Dodgers to go with Jansen as the closer over League. But baseball in general misuses the bullpen so I'd expect most teams to waste their best RP in the closer role which is a lower leverage role than the setup one so they probably will end up going that way.
A quick look at 2012 (I'm on my phone, kinda tough) shows that essentially every team's highest leverage reliever was their closer. I can't find any exceptions. So why would it be "insanely stupid" for the Dodgers to use their best reliever as their closer, and therefore in the highest leverage situations?
If you look at gmLI which is the average LI when a pitcher enters the game over 50% of the top 30 from last year were setup guys. The point is that managers are grossly misusing their bullpens and by sticking your best RP in the setup role you actually end up using it more intelligently than the average manager even if it is on accident~.
That's an awfully creative way of looking at it. Only the Indians who had Vinnie Pestano and his 2.57 ERA (versus Chris Perez and his 3.59 ERA) used their setup man in higher leverage situations than their closer, and it seems like that was a good decision. That's not to say that bullpen usage is ideal, but in it's certainly not "insanely stupid" for a team to use their best relief pitcher as their closer.