Please help me with my keepers

[notoriusbug]

14 team league - 25 man rosters, only keep 8...standard 5 x 5
This is year 5 - I finished 1st in year 1, 13th, 14th, 14th...
So I have 1st overall pick and I've picked up extra picks in round 2 and 5
plus 2 extra picks in round 4 heading into the draft

No brainers - Longoria, Tulowitzki, Ellsbury, Harper, Darvish

I need to keep 3 more players, with the following being my best options

Tim Lincecum, Melky Cabrera, Carlos Santanta, Anthony Rizzo, Jesus Montero, Jurickson Profar, Billy Hamilton, Dylan Bundy

I'm leaning toward Lincecum, Profar, and Melky...I think Lincecum will bounce back, he had a solid second half and a great playoffs.
Profar is considered the best prospect in baseball and although blocked by Andrus and Kinsler, I think they will find him ABs
(I'm keeping him more for long range value at 2B), and I think Melky, although his average will fall down to .285-.290 will be on a
great Blue Jays offense...300, 100, 20, 80, 15 is not out of the question (if he doesn't get suspended again!) I'm not sold that
his production came from PEDs

I'm not keeping Rizzo because I think there will be 3-4 1B in the same range as him (Hosmer, Ike Davis, maybe Goldschmidt)...

Thoughts, ideas, suggestions, criticism??? Sick and tired of finishing at the bottom and "playing for next year" in May and need some
outside advice...thanks guys

[HOOTIE]

Longo
Tulo
Harper
Darvish
Santana
Rizzo

those 6 are locks
Profar likely in AAA all year
Bundy has the best chance of being up soon

Not a big fan of Ellsbury and Timmy, but i guess they get the last 2 spots.
Don't cut Santana and Rizzo.
Melky can be had in draft. Not crazy on him either.

[plamb23]

Longo
Tulo
Harper
Darvish
Santana
Rizzo


those 6 are locks
Profar likely in AAA all year
Bundy has the best chance of being up soon

Not a big fan of Ellsbury and Timmy, but i guess they get the last 2 spots.
Don't cut Santana and Rizzo.
Melky can be had in draft. Not crazy on him either.

I keep Profar or Bundy over Lincecum
and Ellsbury as 8th

[jtsandwich]

I agree with your locks and I do like Ellsbury to rebound large.

next I would say... Rizzo and Santana for sure. The last I am going to take a different approach than most....Billy Hamilton. You will get one chance to have this guy and then he will be off the market for 8 years in long term keeper leagues if he performs even a little. 100 SB potential has not been around for awhile. I would roll the dice on him.