5x5 Roto, 10 team keeper, 14\9 lineups (2C). We keep any 7.
Current players: Y. Molina, Tex, Beltre, Hamilton, ARam, Kershaw, Weaver, Halladay.
Out of Michel Bourn, Mat Latos and Chapman, who do you think is the better pick? I am thinking my speed is pretty much not going to be a strength, so I may as well grab one of the few remaining aces with a good K rate.
Last edited by SecretAgentMan on Tue Jan 22, 2013 4:58 am, edited 1 time in total.
Chapman as a starter is an unknown. Man has never thrown over 96 Ips in a season including in the minors. Walks way too many historically. Lots of upside obviously.
For your team I pick Bourn. In a 10 team league 4 out of your first 9 picks will be pitchers if you take Latos or Chapman. I would prefer not to shape my roster like that. You have Kershaw, Weaver and Halladay at the top of your rotation, I would be comfortable leaving that as it is and filling in my rotation later in the draft.
Also Bourn will neutralize your SB situation, which you describe as weak. I wouldn't want to get later in your draft and have to either punt SB's or take guys strictly because you need anyone that can steal bases. I don't love Bourn, but in your situation, I would take him.
Chapman as a starter is an unknown. Man has never thrown over 96 Ips in a season including in the minors. Walks way too many historically. Lots of upside obviously.
I agree. Yes, there is so much upside and potential in Chapman, but he has no track record to rely on that he will be able to be a productive starter. In fact most signs seem to point to him not being able to do it. The whole "arm fatigue" issue at the end of last year to me is just a huge red flag. Also I think in general, in any 12 team league there is going to be at least 1 or 2 managers who are going to be willing to go early on Chapman in the draft. He is a huge risk and someone I think you would have to pay a premium for. I am not going near him in drafts.
Bourn is 30, and is already dropped down to 40-45 sb. Add he's a .270 hitter with a low oba, and he has no upside. Chapman has upside as a SP, even if he only throws 150 innings. I take upside over decline.
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HOOTIE wrote:Bourn is 30, and is already dropped down to 40-45 sb. Add he's a .270 hitter with a low oba, and he has no upside. Chapman has upside as a SP, even if he only throws 150 innings. I take upside over decline.
Even though your rotation is strong I'd go Chapman too. He's the only player of those listed with the potential to be THE DIFFERENCE MAKER in a championship season. You are solid and safe already. Aroldis could lead the league in strikeouts in said 150 IP.
Last edited by dannahann on Fri Jan 25, 2013 3:14 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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You can get some cheap speed later (guys like Everth Cabrera make nice value picks for your team. You have some age, why not take a chance on Chapman...why not?
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by SecretAgentMan » Tue Jan 22, 2013 4:40 am 
