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Draft commentary

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Re: Draft commentary

Postby wingman3110 » Fri Feb 08, 2013 11:28 am

rjforlife wrote:.277 AVG, 23 HR, 88 RBI, 85 Runs, 14 SB. Those numbers are pretty nice across the board but not spectacular. Projections for Billy Butler, taken 7 picks later, I have
.311 AVG, 28 HR, 102 RBI, 75 Runs, and 2 SB. Those numbers for Butler are down a shade on everything but runs, and still he crushes Goldy in average, has a clear power edge in HR/RBI, loses a bit in runs and 10 or so SB. All told I have Butler slightly ahead of Goldy. Those are just my projections so they really mean nothing, I just think it was a risky pick taking him there. To be honest, I'm conservative with Goldy projections and I think you could end up with a great pick there, I just think you might have been able to wait a round to take him.


Eh. I think we're picking hairs then. There's no way Goldy would've made it back to me and I wanted him, especially after 5 first baseman were already taken. Give me a first basemen who has 30 HR/10 SB capability all day. The runs and rbi will come and he is a .275 hitter which doesn't kill you.
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Re: Draft commentary

Postby Izenhart » Fri Feb 08, 2013 11:38 am

I don't think we can put a BA tag on Goldy yet, he could be a .270 hitter, but I think he will be more of a .290-.310 guy with Votto HR/SB numbers. The counting stats are what drag him under Butler's fantasy value, at least based on my own projections.
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Re: Draft commentary

Postby GiantsFan14 » Fri Feb 08, 2013 12:18 pm

Izenhart wrote:I don't think we can put a BA tag on Goldy yet, he could be a .270 hitter, but I think he will be more of a .290-.310 guy with Votto HR/SB numbers. The counting stats are what drag him under Butler's fantasy value, at least based on my own projections.


He would have to cut down the strikeouts quite a bit and still maintain a very high BABIP to be a .290-.310 guy.
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Re: Draft commentary

Postby TheRock » Fri Feb 08, 2013 12:29 pm

I'm pretty close to rj on this one. I have

Goldy:
.280, 23 HR, 84 RBI, 80 R, 14 SB

Butler:
.305 BA, 28 HR, 103 RBI, 74 R, 2 SB

I'm not seeing a huge breakout from Goldy this year, so if he does I'll be one the ones missing out on him. I have him actually neck and neck with Rizzo. Rizzo a few more dingers but fewer steals.

So to me it was a bit of a reach. But that's what they told people who took Trout in the 12th round last year. If you're convinced he's due, you will probably have to reach to get him.
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Re: Draft commentary

Postby Grounded Polo » Fri Feb 08, 2013 12:34 pm

I'm targeting Butler in every draft this year, consistent .300 hitter now with power? Sign me up in the third round every time, think his downside is minimal.
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Re: Draft commentary

Postby rjforlife » Fri Feb 08, 2013 1:39 pm

Grounded Polo wrote:I'm targeting Butler in every draft this year, consistent .300 hitter now with power? Sign me up in the third round every time, think his downside is minimal.



Butler is going to provide great value at a risky position this year. He is rock solid, and even with a slight regression, you're going to get him later than you should be able to in most drafts because he just isn't flashy.
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Re: Draft commentary

Postby ayebatter » Fri Feb 08, 2013 4:31 pm

rotoquest wrote:19.06 Trevor Cahill SP ARI


Come on admit it you were reading RotoGraphs this morning. :-b
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Re: Draft commentary

Postby rotoquest » Fri Feb 08, 2013 4:57 pm

ayebatter wrote:
rotoquest wrote:19.06 Trevor Cahill SP ARI


Come on admit it you were reading RotoGraphs this morning. :-b


Well, I didn't see the article before the pick, and I was feeling a little blah about it, but I just read the article and I feel a little better about the pick. I guess if I can get him at #258 in all my drafts I'd be lucky. Thanks for pointing that out. ;-D
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Re: Draft commentary

Postby wildcatbandit525 » Sat Feb 09, 2013 8:56 pm

Valverde could be a very good pick in the 20th round or a wasted pick. :-?
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Re: Draft commentary

Postby Izenhart » Sat Feb 09, 2013 9:12 pm

I picked Marshall because I expect Broxton to be 1st in line to lose his job, and also because Marshall is a lock to be the guy next in line if he pitches like the K/IP pitcher that he is. I'm fully expecting Aroldis to start and stay there.
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