OaktownSteve wrote: AHF wrote:
OaktownSteve wrote:Brandon Belt
This was the name I was going to raise. How do the Giants fans on here feel about him for 2013? I expected much more out of him last year (something like .280, 20 HRs, and useful RBI/R numbers). I had high hopes for him given his good eye and great numbers in the minor leagues. I'll still consider a $1 flyer on him in my keeper league if I need a spot to fill but won't target him like I did last season.
There isn't a lot of evidence that the power is forthcoming, especially as a left-hander in ATT. But there's gap to gap with a possibility of 15-20 bags coming from a corner infield spot. Plus he'll likely get outfield eligibility. He's an interesting NL Only play with mixed league value if he hits .280+ and steals bases.
I think .280 may be a just tad optimistic considering his K rate (23.9% MLB and 22.7% AAA), but I essentially agree with everything you said. He's likely never hitting more than in the low 20s of HRs while playing for SF, but his OBP skills and SB numbers are absolutely legitimate.
Where he hits in the lineup and how often he plays when Posey shifts to 1B will have a huge impact on his value. He's projected to hit 6th, which will likely end up wasting his plus OBP skills, hitting in front of the likes of Gregor Blanco. On days Posey plays 1B, is SF going to routinely put him in LF? Considering Belt isn't all that great defensively, while that's maybe Blanco's only positive attribute, it's hard to know exactly what roster they'll go with on those days.
If he gets a full 550-600 PAs, I think he could end up with a line like .274, 18 HR, 155 R/RBI, 12 SB. Definitely not bad for a CI with upside.