Freddie Freeman

[GradySizemore]

What do you guys think? Took a little step back in BA but gained in almost all other categories. Is it too un-realistic to project .270/25hr/100rbi/100runs? That would put him comfortably in the top 10 at 1B possibly challenging top 5.

[GiantsFan14]

His xBABIP last year was around .345 which is almost exactly his career xBABIP (.344). He hits the ball hard and he hits a lot of line drives, so his .295 BABIP last year, while it may seem normal, was probably pretty unlucky. He still strikes out a decent amount which will cap how high his BA could go, but I could see him hitting in the .285-.290 range pretty easily. He's clearly got 25 HR power and he's in a pretty good Braves line up. Definitely could see him approaching 100/100 but I'd probably project a little less.

Something like this seems reasonable:
.285/26/90/95/3

Depending where he ends up going he could provide a lot of value. He also doesn't turn 24 until September so he's probably got room to improve still.

[ayebatter]

Something like this seems reasonable:
.285/26/90/95/3

Those numbers make Bill James look like a piker.

[GiantsFan14]

Something like this seems reasonable:
.285/26/90/95/3

Those numbers make Bill James look like a piker.

i don't get it

[ayebatter]

Something like this seems reasonable:
.285/26/90/95/3

Those numbers make Bill James look like a piker.

i don't get it

pik·er
/ˈpīkər/
Noun

A gambler who makes only small bets.
A stingy or cautious person.

[stevethumb]

it seems like his yearly stats will fall within a certain range....very solid .280 w/24 HRs 90+ RBI and 90 runs scored

[americanleagueroto]

it seems like his yearly stats will fall within a certain range....very solid .280 w/24 HRs 90+ RBI and 90 runs scored

Agreed. I have him at 86 run, 23 hr, 93 RB, .279

Good deep league starter, or top third CI option for 12 team mixers

[Element]

Freeman is like the new Paul Konerko. You draft him after the big boppers are off the board and you can basically just pencil in his stat line. In 10 years he'll have accumulated some nice numbers,

[cordscords]

.280
25 HR
90 RBI
90 R
3 SB

[SpecialFNK]

what also cuts into his AVG are his numbers vs LHP.
12 vs LHP - .237/.315/.399/.714
11 vs LHP - .247/.304/.403/.707

another factor could be the Braves lineup. where does Freeman bat?
both McCann and Uggla struggled in 2012, so does that put Freeman ahead of them in the lineup? or after them? I think both McCann and Uggla will rebound in 2013. if Freeman is batting in front of them then he can get 90+ runs, but if he's batting after them, knock off say 20 runs.