I'm in a deep keeper league (14 owners x 40 man rosters = 560 players, plus DL). To keep a player, you need to give up the draft pick three rounds lower than the round where that player was selected the year before. It's a mixed, 6x6 (OPS and holds) roto league, and each year we keep 8 players. I do my homework and I typically draft well, so my strategy is to try to keep the younger guys and prospects who only cost me picks in the higher rounds (ideally above the 25th or 30th), rather than keep everyday players where I'd have to give up (say) an 8th or a 10th or a 12th pick.
So I have some obvious guys
OF B. Harper (give up 34th pick) OF Jennings (also 34) 1B Hosmer (33)
and some likely guys
2B/3B Seager (38) SP Peavy (28) SP Bumgarner (13)
But I always keep some prospects, and here's where I need help. If you had to rank these next six guys (or just pick the top two or three), who would YOU keep?
I'd keep all 3 of your "likely" MLB players. Those are good values, especially for Seager with the fences coming in next year.
Of your minor league players, I'd definitely want Wheeler at 33. He has frontline starter potential and he'll be up next year. The others have enough questions marks that I could take or leave them. Skaggs/Turner (upside), Martinez (eventual role), Arenado (maturity/production dropoff), Rendon (injury). Of those I would be most interested in Arenado and Rendon.
about how roughly 70% of prospects who make Baseball America's Top 100 Prospects bust. One of the conclusions I've increasingly come to is to stick with guys who are close to the majors and can help me next season, over the highly touted 19 or 20 year olds. I just think it's a much better bet.
Insanity: Doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results - Albert Einstein