Frenchiegangsta9 wrote:There is a very simple answer to your question: We obviously have a difference in opinion. In your mind, you value Medlen much higher than I do. I know its shocking in an open forum such as this where everyone shares their own thoughts.
No, what I find shocking is how you can make a statement (see below) with zero evidence to back it up. Aside from gut feeling I guess.
Frenchiegangsta9 wrote:The 2 pitchers that you would be sending back into the draft pool should be available after the 5th round or much later.
In your mind, what makes Medlen a 5th round (or much later) draftee? Elaborating on this would provide some actual input to the original question. And if your reasoning is sound, then maybe the OP (and myself) might re-think where we value Medlen.
I don't mean to be confrontational here, but my answer has some reasoning and thought behind it.
For the 5th keeper, I would go with Medlen. He has a decent pedigree and while he won't retain the insane level of production that he had in 2012, I think he is a safe bet for a top 20-30 SP. He has great control, an excellent GB%, and improved his K/9 dramatically during the second half. His BABIP, LOB%, and HR/FB% will regress, but I think a lot of this will be offset by his improving K/9 and high GB%. Will his ERA be below 2? No. Will his FIP be ~2.5? No. But this is a guy who could post a low 3 ERA with above average K and WHIP numbers.
I'm not saying you haven't thought things out, but please do post why you feel the way you do.