Keeper League Advice

[zomberg]

9 Team NL Only 4x4 League. (AVG, HR, RBI, SB -- W, S, ERA, WHIP) 25 players, $280, and reserve system for 15 rounds.

My team is unfortunately falling out of the race in 2012, so I am dumping for 2013 and years to come. We have several expensive/expiring contracts that still have value to teams, and I have been shown three offers.

NOTE: I have the space to keep all players in these trades without any space issues.

Door #1
Ike Davis -- 16 Ext
E. Bonifacio -- 15 Ext
Starling Marte -- 10 S2
Matt Harvey -- 5 S2


Door #2
Ryan Howard -- 16 S2
Matt Harvey -- 5 S2

Door #3
Billy Hamilton -- 5 R
Ike Davis -- 16 Ext
Starling Marte -- 10 S2

Which offer do I accept?

Note that an "EXT" contract needs to either be extended at $5/year (i.e. Davis would need to go to $21 in order to become an L2, $26 to become L3) or played out ($16 as an L1), while an S2 contract has one more year before I have the option to extend the contract. Rookie contracts hold at S3 until the player is called up to the majors.

[sigriffey]

I'm confused... can you elaborate a bit on who you are giving up and receiving in these?

[zomberg]

I'm confused... can you elaborate a bit on who you are giving up and receiving in these?

(Forgot to write that we're doing a Roto league.)
No problem, just was trying to make life less confusing. I own both Harvey and Davis. Non-closer pitching has almost no value in our league, and hitting is severely inflated. [[Currently, I am packaging the following expiring players: Tulowitzki, Jaime Garcia, Marcum, Karstens, and Starlin Castro in all of these deals.]] In the Howard trade, I need to part with Davis (and not Harvey). In the Hamilton trade, I need to part with Harvey.

The way I see each of the three marquee players is as follows:

Bonafacio: Bourn is a FA this year, and he'll go for 30-35.
Howard: In his prime, his stats went for 45-50 bucks. (Bad AVG held him down)
Hamilton: See the comparison to Bourn, extrapolate to how many steals you think he's good for and... $$.

[sigriffey]

Still wrapping my head around this, but assuming that is Chris Davis (Rajai Davis?)... I am not a fan of either. I like Bon but he can't stay healthy. Harvey looks like a nice arm, and Howard at that price is not bad. Marte seems legit but will K his fair share.

All in all, I think Door 3 offers good value.

[zomberg]

Still wrapping my head around this, but assuming that is Chris Davis (Rajai Davis?)... I am not a fan of either. I like Bon but he can't stay healthy. Harvey looks like a nice arm, and Howard at that price is not bad. Marte seems legit but will K his fair share.

All in all, I think Door 3 offers good value.

And that's why I'm supposed to use first names.

Door #1
Ike Davis -- 16 Ext
Emilio Bonifacio -- 15 Ext
Starling Marte -- 10 S2
Matt Harvey -- 5 S2


Door #2
Ryan Howard -- 16 S2
Matt Harvey -- 5 S2

Door #3
Billy Hamilton -- 5 R
Ike Davis -- 16 Ext
Starling Marte -- 10 S2

[sigriffey]

If you can afford it I like 3

[zomberg]

If you can afford it I like 3

Thanks for your help. I ended up taking Door #1, but only because the other owner foisted it upon me last minute. Wish I had Hamilton, because that's the type of player you trade 3 pieces for when he arrives...