Colby Lewis Replacement Needed? Which one of these SPs?

[FantasySportsMaven]

Colby Lewis is out for the year so I need a replacement pitcher for this week and the future.

16 team Dynasty H2H Points League.
Our league rules on FA adds is very restrictive and so if I haven't listed the player below, he is either owned, on a farm team or hasn't played in MLB prior to this year.

Which one of these guys should I pick up for this weeks matchup and to keep for the rest of the year?
Name/Matchup
Blackley/at TOR - at BAL
A. Cook/at NYY
T. Wood/vs STL
F. Garcia/at SEA - vs BAL
Laffey/vs OAK
C. Tillman/vs TB
W. LeBlanc/replacing A. Sanchez in rotation?
Happ/None
Feldman/? replacing Lewis in rotation?

Leave a link and I will help you too!

[siugrad30]

Boy, 16-team leagues make you really analyze your team.

Looking at those options:

Laffey has a good match-up and has pitched decent over his first 5 starts
Tillman has pitched well in 2 of his last 3 outings but still that one clunker was pretty rough.
Blackley is an interesting move in that ballpark providing he can stay healthy.

I wouldn't trust Wood after his last two outings and how much does Garcia have left to offer?

[siugrad30]

Oops, left out Feldman, who I like as a Colby Lewis replacement. Playing with that offense behind you, you could get away with a couple decent outings and still pull out a win. He's not going to help with strikeouts but definitely with wins. Only thing you have to watch is if Rangers start looking at SPs nearing the deadline.

[FantasySportsMaven]

Thanks for the help!

Our point scoring for pitchers is pretty extensive and analytical as well.
For example, if we look at Laffeys last two starts, both wins, he would have scored 27 points in his last win but only 8 points in the win prior to the last one.

Sometimes SPs who get alot of Ks and low BBs end up with a higher point total in a loss than do pitchers like Cook who get no Ks, give up 8 hits and 3 runs but still win.

We also have negative scoring and Liriano got me a big fat MINUS 15 yesterday. That's why Blackley with his two starts this week looks enticing but both are away and the game against explosive Toronto is scary.

Maybe Laffey is the smart play?

[siugrad30]

If you can say anything about Laffey, at least he's been consistent. Yeah, at this point, he seems like your best play.

[MadDog36]

Laffey spot start Tillman long term

[zyzzbrah34]

I agree about Laffey. Hasn't allowed too many runs in any of his starts. Solid ERA and WHIP and has won his last two.

[FantasySportsMaven]

Thanks to everyone who helped.

Actually just picked up both Laffey and Tillman. Thanks again!