I might take it, though its not a clear cut as you may believe it to be.
Wainwright is due for some serious improvement, he'll be much better than his stats are right now. That's pretty well-known. Lincecum, on the other hand, is quite the risk with his fastball being slowed so much. He's not as bad as he's doing now, but he likely won't be back to his old ways, in my opinion. So that's a downgrade.
CarGo, on the other hand, could be a top outfielder for years to come. Great power and average there. Holliday is good but it's not close. That's a big upgrade.
Rosters aside, I would take this. However, this trade seems to weaken your pitching staff and strengthen an outfield that is already pretty strong (Braun and Kemp are probably the top 2 outfielders in the MLB). So if you want to do that, go ahead. That's all the advice I can give.
I concur with Murray. This deal is not as clear-cut as you may believe. You get the best player overall in CarGo, but you are truly rolling the dice with Timmy Jim. Close call but I'd stick with Holliday/Wainwright.
You're getting the best player (by far) and the worst (by far). I'll take the best player every time; in fact, I'd probably pull the trigger even if it was just CarGo for Holliday and Wainwright, the latter of whom I see as a relatively low-value throw-in given his inconsistency and struggles.
Bump... Thanks for the help so far guys, some more opinions would be great though!
So I'm trying to come up with a counter offer for the original trade in my first post on the thread, and what I've come up with is swapping out wainwright for Shields so it'll be Holliday and shields for CarGo and Lincecum.
Another I was thinking about offering, it's probably a stretch though (so some help here would be awesome!), was strasburg rasmus axford and shields for CarGo lincecum papelbon and Greinke.
Is that a stupid idea or too one sided in my favor??