by mcmbpd » Mon Jun 11, 2012 7:55 pm
I made a post ealier about a trade involving Lincecum so I'll share that again first in case you didn't see it: Many "experts" are calling for a rebound from Lincecum, propping him up as a prime buy-low candidate. Like alot of people I've got the extra innings package and I've watched all of Lincecum's starts, especially those against the Dodgers, my NL team. I haven't seen anything that indicates that Lincecum is going to magically turn things around...I also don't see anything that points to some unknown injury lying below the surface. All I see is a guy who has been a rock in the past, but has now averaged 220 IP/season over the last four years. And while he's only 26 yrs old he reminds me of another ace who started to break down around the same age, maybe you've heard of him: Jake Peavy. I think we are simply witnessing the decline of Tim Lincecum and his "big" injury is coming very soon. That being said I don't see that happening this year and I believe he will rebound somewhat, but his numbers will not come anywhere close to his previous seasons. We're looking at a very pedestrian year from Lincecum in 2012.
I'd take on the risks associated with Lincecum for Reddick though...as low as I am on Lincecum I'm even lower on Reddick. I think the potential bounceback for Lincecum, if by some miracle it happened, would be much more benefical than anything that Reddick will offer in the rest of the 2012 season.
"Baseball is ninety percent mental. The other half is physical." --Yogi Berra
