jfg wrote:The AL switch is a little bit of a concern, but I picked him up in every league. He's only 33, and I don't think health is going to be an issue playing only the last half of the season. I think he'll be better than last year... coming off fresh I'd say he's good for a 3.20 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, somewhere around 7 K's a game, and playing for a team like Texas maybe around 8-9 wins.
I think that's awfully optimistic.
to start I think you can take what he did for Philadelphia in 2010 and throw that out the window (1.74/0.90). that's not happening.
other than what he did in 2010 with Philadelphia he had these seasons..
2009- 4.12/1.24
2010- 3.42/1.11
2011- 3.69/1.34
I'm thinking 3.50/1.20 at least, and I think I'm being optimistic. that's still good numbers, but I'm guessing he's going to be closer to 4.00 than 3.00.
I guess it depends who and where he pitches. he will get to face both Seattle and Oakland, but then he also has to pitch in Texas.