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Lincecum Trade

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Lincecum Trade

Postby Element » Fri May 25, 2012 2:25 pm

12-team, 5x5 (OBP instead of runs scored), $260, auction keeper. We can keep up to 7 players by adding $5 to current salary. There is NO BENCH and we get only 10 add/drops all season long (DL/ML replacements don't count). I have 7 remaining. It's wise to go into September with at least 4.

Roster:

C - Mike Napoli $13
C - JP Arencibia $1
1B - Justin Smoak $2
2B - Neil Walker $8
3B - Ryan Zimmerman $25
SS - Dee Gordon $6
UI - Pablo Sandoval (DL) $16
-------Will Middlebrooks (part time - $15)
UI - Lance Berkman (DL) $10
-------Mike Aviles (part time - $15)
OF - Matt Kemp $29
OF - Jason Heyward $15
OF - Bryce Harper $6
OF - Matt Holliday $26
OF - JD Martinez $15
OF - Justin Morneau $8 (DH Eligible players qualify as OF in this league)

P - Clayton Kershaw $21
P - Stephen Strasburg $12
P - Doug Fister $10
P - Mariano Rivera $12
-------Edwin Jackson (part time - $15)
P - Chris Carpenter $8
-------Lance Lynn (part time - $15)
P - Trevor Bauer $2
-------Chad Billingsley (part time - $15)
P - Shelby Miller $1
-------Jake Peavy (part time - $15)
P - Sergio Santos $10
-------Henry Rodriguez (part time - $15)
P - Addison Reed $15

Note: Part time players are players picked up (no add/drop charged) when a player goes to the DL. These players can be released when another player is activated w/o costing a waive move.

Here is the deal on the table ...

I Give:

Justin Morneau $8
Doug Fister $10

I Get:

Tim Lincecum $30
Jose Tabata $6

Being a Dodgers fan, I have a natural hatred for Timmay. Some metrics that stood out to me when looking over Lincecum were his 59.3 LOB%, 2.94 FIP (despite an ERA over 6.00) & his BABIP of 0.353 (!!). On the surface, it looks like a great buy low, but his LD% is up 5% over last season while his velocity is obviously down. I absolutely love Morneau this season & Fister really stabilizes my WHIP.

Thoughts?
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Re: Lincecum Trade

Postby bigh0rt » Fri May 25, 2012 2:32 pm

The upside of Timmy, and the belief that I have that he's going to return to form sooner than later, along with the fragility of Morneau, makes this deal an easy accept for me.
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Re: Lincecum Trade

Postby MaudDib » Fri May 25, 2012 2:38 pm

I think I take the deal as well. I am not convinced that Lincecum is going to finish the season as a top 5 SP but he should be a top 15 SP. That in itself is worth the trade. Also could turn into a tradeable asset later on in the season.
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Re: Lincecum Trade

Postby RedHopeful » Fri May 25, 2012 3:08 pm

I'm on the other side. Just can't buy Lincecum as he hasn't shown signs of regaining the velocity. He's either fallen off the wagon, having a anomaly type of year or will be found to have some sort of injury. Now I know pitchers have gotten buy throwing 90mph fastballs, but it takes time to adjust. You guys putting him in the top 15 based mostly on past experience is beyond brave.
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Re: Lincecum Trade

Postby joeyg2323 » Fri May 25, 2012 3:49 pm

the trade looks good to me.

damn 10 moves all year! that must be hard to deal with as im sure you miss a lot of good players because you dont wanna use one of your add/drops at the time.
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Re: Lincecum Trade

Postby Element » Fri May 25, 2012 3:58 pm

joeyg2323 wrote:the trade looks good to me.

damn 10 moves all year! that must be hard to deal with as im sure you miss a lot of good players because you dont wanna use one of your add/drops at the time.


You just have to refrain from grabbing the flavors of the week. The draft is important.

UPDATE!! Talked the owner into subbing Tabata with Morales. Yes please and thank you! I am accepting this w/o much thought. Thanks guys!
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Re: Lincecum Trade

Postby joeyg2323 » Fri May 25, 2012 4:01 pm

Element wrote:
joeyg2323 wrote:the trade looks good to me.

damn 10 moves all year! that must be hard to deal with as im sure you miss a lot of good players because you dont wanna use one of your add/drops at the time.


You just have to refrain from grabbing the flavors of the week. The draft is important.

UPDATE!! Talked the owner into subbing Tabata with Morales. Yes please and thank you! I am accepting this w/o much thought. Thanks guys!

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