NikkiSixx wrote:Just curious to know how important that is to some of you when measuring how well a pitcher pitches.
if I was the GM in real baseball it would be huge.
However I'm a savant fantasy GM, so I consider luck an asset. If a team has an exceptional defense behind them-think Rays pitchers, I want to know. If a pitcher would suck outside of Petco, what do I care unless he's traded?
Additionally, this quote from the fangraphs site: "Home run rates are generally unstable over time" deserves a sizeable asterisk. xFIP normalizes HR rates.
I have been reading about DIPS and its cousins for a while, and find the topic fascinating. This article provides a pretty good summary of all the research: http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/artic ... -apostate/
All of which says you can spend a lot of time looking at a bunch of measurements which try to take park and defense factors out of a pitcher's record, and ramble on and on endlessly about Hellickson.
Or you could just look at GB/FB and K/9 rates and get on with your life