Billingsly for Dunn? WHIR

[lyons595]

Our 12 team league has plenty of solid SP available any given day on the WW. I stream SP (usually 2-4 per week) and feel most SP are a dime a dozen.
I'd like to add power to my lineup and see this as a cheap way to add a true power hitter. BUT, I am a little wary of Dunn--it seems like he's swinging better than last year and he's played all 12 G for the Sox so he should get the AB needed to give me +/-30 HR.

I asked for Jay Bruce instead. He seems like a safer bet. Should I still pull the trigger with Dunn if he counters? Thanks.

ESPN, h2h each, 12 team, 4 RP max, daily roster changes. Cats: standard 5x5 plus OPS, QS. Non-keeper. I stream 2-4 SP weekly.

C Mike Napoli
1B Joey Votto
2B Howard Kendrick
3B Jose Bautista
SS Jose Reyes
OF Michael Bourn
OF Shane Victorino
OF Josh Willingham
UTIL Jason Kubel
Bench Michael Morse (DL)
Bench Carl Crawford (DL)

SP Chad Billingsly
SP Jaime Garcia (Stream)
SP stream
SP stream
SP Shaun Marcum
RP Craig Kimbrel
RP Jordan Walden
RP Joe Nathan
RP Brandon League

[chinch sacs]

Pretty even. I doubt Bills goes off for a crazy year. mid 4 era 6-7 k/9 10 wins? I dont trust Dunn either, but he can easily drop 40 bombs again.

Id do it.

http://www.fantasybaseballcafe.com/forums/viewtopic.php?t=444623

[Fenris-77]

Not terrible value, even if Dunn is a roll of the dice this year. Keep in mind that Dunn and Bruce don't even inhabit the same planet, value-wise, and a trade that may land you Dunn almost assuredly won't land you Bruce.

[Element]

The Bruce for Bills offer is laughable. If you sent that to me I wouldn't even bother countering because it's obvious that we'd be too far away. Dunn for Bills is pretty even if you need the power. I think that Dunn goes on a streak and some point and Bills won't keep this up.

[sdyarnell]

Fenris is right. Bruce, esp in that league, kills Dunn. You will also be taking a big hit with Dunn for the average. Pena will still hurt you for average, but will be a better overall player in your league with the higher OPS, but he is doing well and the owner may not want to let him go.

In your league, Billingsly is a replacement lvl pitcher, so shoot for someone slightly higher than replacement lvl. Maybe try for someone like Ike Davis or Freddie Freeman. Much better overall players. Chris Young would be a good choice also.

[lyons595]

Thanks, all. I did counter with Marcum for Bruce but we ultimately settled on Bills for Dunn.