Fantasy Baseball Cafe Forums

by **Syfo-Dyas** » Tue May 01, 2012 1:27 pm

Izenhart wrote:
Tennessee Jed wrote:He's been killing it. Worth an add?

Until something happens that says he's not worth adding, I'm quite happy with the production he's giving me.

Thats how you play smart, if you have a spot on your team.

by **machine3** » Tue May 01, 2012 10:48 pm

Rolling along...3-4, 2B, HR :-)

by **NZ Eff** » Wed May 02, 2012 12:27 am

Davis has serious pop but the problem has always been his high K rate and low BB and inability to hit lefties. For that reason he is a true platoon player but one that must be rostered while he stays hot. I doubt he keeps the BA over .300 but can hit 25-30 HR's even with only 400 plate appearances. He does look way more relaxed up at the plate this season and for sure has a sweet swing. Reminds of Josh Hamilton actually.

by **Izenhart** » Wed May 02, 2012 1:53 am

I think what everyone here really wants to know is:

Will Davis' obvious strengths outweigh his obvious flaws this year?

if you have a black hole at 3B or even 1B he's worth riding while he's doing well and Reynolds/Nickstache are probably the worst 2 hitters in baseball right now.

by **WickedSmaat** » Thu May 03, 2012 12:19 am

NZ Eff wrote:Davis has serious pop but the problem has always been his high K rate and low BB and inability to hit lefties. For that reason he is a true platoon player but one that must be rostered while he stays hot. I doubt he keeps the BA over .300 but can hit 25-30 HR's even with only 400 plate appearances. He does look way more relaxed up at the plate this season and for sure has a sweet swing. Reminds of Josh Hamilton actually.

I agree with you on the BA that he probably won't be able to keep up a +.300 pace BUT I disagree with you on the platoon portion of it. While he is a lefty, when he has been hitting well* he has had very good splits against lefties:

2008: .279 v L | .287 v R
2011: .350 v L | .245 v R
2012: .385 v L | .323 v R

*I give the asterisk as your grain of salt. I'm just saying I don't buy that he can't hit lefties as well as righties, especially when he's been shown to dominate in the minors, I doubt his splits were as bad as 2009-2010.

I'm definitely enjoying the ride though, hopefully it keeps on rolling.

by **Izenhart** » Thu May 03, 2012 2:19 am

And with Youkilis now on the DL I have added Davis in two more leagues. He's one of my highest % owned now. :-o

by **SpecialFNK** » Fri May 04, 2012 5:34 pm

the BABIP is high at .364 so the .316 AVG likely wont continue.

he has always had good LD%
12- 26.7
11- 25.0
10- 22.2
09- 20.6
08- 25.5

his HR/FB is higher than I think he can maintain this year at 22.7%, but he still has the potential for a good HR numbers.

his BB% and K% have improved this season.
12- 8.0 % - 23.0 %
11- 5.2 % - 30.0 %
10- 11.0 % - 29.4 %
09- 5.7 % - 35.8 %
08- 6.3 % - 27.8 %

he is now 26 years old, so maybe he is for real.