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2012 Buy Low/Sell High

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Re: 2012 Buy Low/Sell High

Postby Montana168 » Sat Apr 21, 2012 5:13 pm

kab21 wrote:At what point does Sale become a sell high? I really liked him coming into the season but I think the buzz on him is going to start taking off and might go a little overboard.


I would say end of may/beginning of june I would put him on the trade block. I think he has too small of a sample size right now as a starter to fetch anything good in a trade. But if he continues for a few months, people will bite. But I agree, I'm selling him eventually. He will absolutely be on an innings limit, as this is his first year as a professional starter. I don't expect him to be in the rotation come h2h playoff time.
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Re: 2012 Buy Low/Sell High

Postby Izenhart » Sat Apr 21, 2012 5:38 pm

NikkiSixx wrote:
Mikdonn2 wrote:Sorry if this has been mentioned but do you think Adam Wainwright is a buy low candidate or would you stay away?

I absolutely buy low on Wainwright if you can.


I think Wainwright's arm strength and sharpness with his pitches will improve as the season goes on. He's still just over 1 year away from TJ surgery and it usually takes a player 18 months before they are at full strength. I'm not buying him yet, I expect him to have a weak 1st half and strong 2nd half.
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Re: 2012 Buy Low/Sell High

Postby chargerss24 » Sat Apr 21, 2012 5:51 pm

Izenhart wrote:
NikkiSixx wrote:
Mikdonn2 wrote:Sorry if this has been mentioned but do you think Adam Wainwright is a buy low candidate or would you stay away?

I absolutely buy low on Wainwright if you can.


I'm not buying him yet, I expect him to have a weak 1st half and strong 2nd half.


Isn't that the point of buying low? :-?
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Re: 2012 Buy Low/Sell High

Postby Izenhart » Sat Apr 21, 2012 6:01 pm

chargerss24 wrote:
Izenhart wrote:
NikkiSixx wrote:I absolutely buy low on Wainwright if you can.


I'm not buying him yet, I expect him to have a weak 1st half and strong 2nd half.


Isn't that the point of buying low? :-?


Why buy low now when I can buy low later?
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Re: 2012 Buy Low/Sell High

Postby CadensDad » Sat Apr 21, 2012 6:08 pm

Izenhart wrote:
chargerss24 wrote:
Izenhart wrote:
I'm not buying him yet, I expect him to have a weak 1st half and strong 2nd half.


Isn't that the point of buying low? :-?


Why buy low now when I can buy low later?



So you dont want to buy low now, you'd rather wait and buy low later?
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Re: 2012 Buy Low/Sell High

Postby benb18a » Sat Apr 21, 2012 6:47 pm

NikkiSixx wrote:Every year it should go without saying... BUY LOW ON MARK TEIXEIRA!!



A guy with a notorious slow start with a career OPS of .902 but has a career OPS of .772 in the month of April. He starts of slow every year, and his an absolute stud in the months of May, June, July, August, and September.


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Re: 2012 Buy Low/Sell High

Postby NikkiSixx » Sun Apr 22, 2012 1:40 pm

Izenhart wrote:
chargerss24 wrote:
Izenhart wrote:
I'm not buying him yet, I expect him to have a weak 1st half and strong 2nd half.


Isn't that the point of buying low? :-?


Why buy low now when I can buy low later?

Well why wouldnt you buy low now? What if you are wrong and you CANT buy low later?
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Re: 2012 Buy Low/Sell High

Postby NikkiSixx » Sun Apr 22, 2012 6:14 pm

With each game Matt Holliday's and Justin Upton's stock gets lower and lower... I think you have to at least try and get these guys at a discounted price if you can. You'll want to reap the benefits when they do get hot.

Another buy low candidate for me is Kendrys Morales. He looks healthy and should heat up relatively soon. I believe in Morales and I'm trying to get him for dirt cheap before he starts playing like the Kendrys Morales we knew before he injured his leg.

Also, sell high on Austin Jackson, i think we are seeing him at his highest point. While I think he is serviceable I just dont think he is a star, but he is certainly playing like one right now.

I also say sell high on Derek Jeter right now, the 4 home runs already might be able to get an owner to overpay for him.


If you are selling high on a player, I would aim for the guys toward the bottom of the standings. Usually the guys at the bottom are frustrated owners just ACHING for players that will produce for them RIGHT NOW.
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Re: 2012 Buy Low/Sell High

Postby RyeWhiskey » Sun Apr 22, 2012 6:17 pm

NikkiSixx wrote:With each game Matt Holliday's and Justin Upton's stock gets lower and lower... I think you have to at least try and get these guys at a discounted price if you can. You'll want to reap the benefits when they do get hot.

Another buy low candidate for me is Kendrys Morales. He looks healthy and should heat up relatively soon. I believe in Morales and I'm trying to get him for dirt cheap before he starts playing like the Kendrys Morales we knew before he injured his leg.

Also, sell high on Austin Jackson, i think we are seeing him at his highest point. While I think he is serviceable I just dont think he is a star, but he is certainly playing like one right now.

I also say sell high on Derek Jeter right now, the 4 home runs already might be able to get an owner to overpay for him.


If you are selling high on a player, I would aim for the guys toward the bottom of the standings. Usually the guys at the bottom are frustrated owners just ACHING for players that will produce for them RIGHT NOW.


I just want to say that as a guy who has BOTH HOlliday and J Upton in his OF, I am feeling pretty crummy right now. I won't sell low, but I normally wouldn't sell at all (and I probably still won't sell Upton as it's a keeper) and right now I'm shopping Holliday.

So yes, good post.
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Re: 2012 Buy Low/Sell High

Postby Verminator » Sun Apr 22, 2012 8:17 pm

It is never too early to buy low or sell high.

Case in point, I bought Yovani Gallardo in my NL only league at a very low price... one day after his 3 2/3 IP, 6 ER performance. $9 lower than Matt Cain, $24 lower than Roy Halladay.

You would also have been wise to sell Brandon Belt high after starting 1 for 10... knowing who is piece of crap manager was and the fact that Aubrey Huff must have incriminating photos of said crap manager!
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