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2012 Cafe MLB Betting Thread

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Re: 2012 Cafe MLB Betting Thread

Postby fast dogs » Tue Apr 03, 2012 2:35 am

some interesting stuff there
Shields plus 1/2 a win vs Cahill looks too easy
I think I'd have to go over 92 wins for Angels
under 81 on Dodgers
Beltre 2 1/2 more HR than A Ram
I like the player wagers alot...
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Re: 2012 Cafe MLB Betting Thread

Postby Izenhart » Tue Apr 03, 2012 6:58 am

I like these:

Marlins Wins o85
Red Sox Wins u90
Angels Wins o92
Padres u73.5
Rays o86.5

Most Home Runs Hit - M Stanton +5.5-120 (Bautista)
Most Home Runs Hit - Granderson -1-115 (J Upton)
Most Home Runs Hit - Longoria -4-130 (Zimmerman)
Most RBI - Brian McCann +1-115 (Mauer)
Most RBI - Youkilis +1.5-115 (H Ramirez)
Most Runs Scored - Granderson +3.5-120 (Ellsbury)

NO-TOP AVERAGE OVER .348 -145
HIGHEST HIT TOTAL IN SEASON u213½-110
MOST TRIPLES BY ANY PLAYER u16-115
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2012 Cafe MLB Betting Thread

Postby lastingsgriller » Tue Apr 03, 2012 11:03 am

Rockies over 81 1/2
Royals over 79 1/2

Odds makers sure make it tough on a brother.
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Re: 2012 Cafe MLB Betting Thread

Postby Gags Sports » Tue Apr 03, 2012 4:53 pm

Hey Snakes,

What site are those odds from? If you don't want to post, please PM me. There are some odds that are more favorable than the other three sites I have been tracking.

Thanks!
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Re: 2012 Cafe MLB Betting Thread

Postby BronXBombers51 » Tue Apr 03, 2012 4:58 pm

I like the overs on Tampa and Milwaukee.
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Re: 2012 Cafe MLB Betting Thread

Postby bigh0rt » Tue Apr 03, 2012 5:16 pm

Something interesting is that Vegas has Kendrys Morales' RBI o/u set to 90.5, HR o/u at 27.5 -- the only projection that has him even sniffing that is Bill James (24 HR, 86 RBI) and others have him falling wildly short. Does Vegas know something we don't? Other interesting o/u marks for various players...

J.J. Hardy - 25.5 HR -- apparently they think a repeat power performance is in the works
Kevin Youkilis - 22.5 HR -- I doubt it
Jacoby Ellsbury - 20.5 HR -- seems a lot more reasonable than expecting 30 again, and I bet he still goes under
Andrew Bailey - 35.5 SV -- seems to still be available even with the possibility of him missing 3 months
Alfonso Soriano - 22.5 HR -- I thought this was ridiculous until I saw he hit 26 last year...
Adam Dunn - 27.5 HR -- in my heart I want to believe he surpasses this easily and I don't have to watch a repeat of last year's disgust
Joey Votto - 30.5 HR, 105.5 RBI -- reasonable
Jay Bruce - 31.5 HR, 95.5 RBI
Carlos Santana - 27.5 HR -- as an owner, this is nice to see
Miguel Cabrera - 34.5 HR, 112.5 RBI
Prince Fielder - 35.5 HR, 115.5 RBI -- interesting to see both of these higher than Miggy's
Hanley Ramirez - 21.5 HR, 29.5 SB, 84.5 RBI
Jose Reyes - 105.5 R, 39.5 SB
Giancarlo Stanton - 35.5 HR, 95.5 RBI
Billy Butler - 18.5 HR, 87.5 RBI
Eric Hosmer - 25.5 HR, 87.5 RBI
Albert Pujols - 37.5 HR, 118.5 RBI
Matt Kemp - 33.5 HR, 112.5 RBI
Dee Gordon - 47.5 SB
Ryan Braun - 30.5 HR, 110.5 RBI
Rickie Weeks - 24.5 HR
Corey Hart - 27.5 HR
.
.
.
I feel like I want to try and acquire Kendrys Morales? :-D
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2012 Cafe MLB Betting Thread

Postby lastingsgriller » Tue Apr 03, 2012 5:41 pm

Would love to see how historically accurate Vegas has been in comparison to other projection systems.
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