Who's the "I should have seen that coming" guy this year?

[Inukchuk]

The thing with JJ is everyone knows the #1 SP talent is there.
But its a complete crap shoot when it comes to how many games hes going to pitch before he gets hurt.
Hes only made 24 or more starts in a season twice in his entire 6+ year career.
Thats scary.
And imo the DL is the only thing "i shouldve seen coming"

Agreed. Even if JJ (or a lot of the other injury prone guys that have been mentioned) does put up a great season, I definitely won't say that I should have seen it coming. It's a bit ridiculous to expect a perennially injured player to suddenly become the model of perfect health. I feel as if you think that way, you'll be burned far more often than you'll be rewarded.

That being said, there is merit to jumping on high talent injury risks, but only if the price is right...

[k.k.]

I think we can cross Josh Johnson off the list.

One game? Just like that? It's not like JJ was bad in the opener either. Geez guy...

[RyeWhiskey]

Pitchers

Should have seen that coming:
Doug Fister (SP - Det). Untrendy pick due to low K totals, will dominate in full season in DET. 170 IP: 18 W, 120 K, 3.00 ERA, 1.05 WHIP

Probably wouldn't have seen that coming:
Matt Capps (RP - Min). Stays the closer for the Twins all season and returns to All-Star form. 35+ saves, 2.50 ERA, 1.10 WHIP

Definitely didn't see that coming:
Brett Anderson (SP - Oak). Virtually un-drafted and can be stashed on the DL. Comes off the DL after the break and returns to form. 80 IP: 6 W, 70 K, 3.15 ERA, 1.15 WHIP

Hitters

Should have seen that coming:
Brennan Boesch (OF - Det). Hits in the 2 spot all year and gets tired from rounding the bases so many times due to Miggy and Prince. .285 - 25 - 80 - 110 - 10

Probably wouldn't have seen that coming:
Justin Morneau (1B - Min). DH position fits him well and he gets back to form. .300 - 20 - 100 - 80

Definitely didn't see that coming:
Marco Scutaro (SS, 2B - Col). Shhhhhhhh super sleeper at two thin positions (will gain 2B eligibility). .300 - 10 - 65 - 100 - 10

[Snakes Gould]

zomg kyle lohse and ryan dempster, cardinals cubs respective aces!

[Quackman]

Austin Jackson baby. 120 runs. 30sb.

[ayebatter]

Pitchers

Should have seen that coming:
Doug Fister (SP - Det). Untrendy pick due to low K totals, will dominate in full season in DET. 170 IP: 18 W, 120 K, 3.00 ERA, 1.05 WHIP

I drafted him in every league I could.

Pitchers


Probably wouldn't have seen that coming:
Matt Capps (RP - Min). Stays the closer for the Twins all season and returns to All-Star form. 35+ saves, 2.50 ERA, 1.10 WHIP

I drafted him in every league I could.

Pitchers

Definitely didn't see that coming:
Marco Scutaro (SS, 2B - Col). Shhhhhhhh super sleeper at two thin positions (will gain 2B eligibility). .300 - 10 - 65 - 100 - 10

Looked like a great late pick, but I was only successful in two leagues.

[bigh0rt]

zomg kyle lohse and ryan dempster, cardinals cubs respective aces!

I actually think Dempster is a good value guy this year. His BB rate's been slipping so the WHIP won't be great but I imagine his ERA will be about a full run lower than last year with an excellent K rate. I just hope he's the one on the hill for those rare Cub wins like he should've been yesterday.

[lastingsgriller]

zomg kyle lohse and ryan dempster, cardinals cubs respective aces!

I actually think Dempster is a good value guy this year. His BB rate's been slipping so the WHIP won't be great but I imagine his ERA will be about a full run lower than last year with an excellent K rate. I just hope he's the one on the hill for those rare Cub wins like he should've been yesterday.

yep, still a lock for 190+ k's. Great back end guy. Especially if you have a good staff to balance out his whip.

[thatguy27]

Ike Davis.... off to a 28-100 clip (extrapolated over full season) lastyr before injury and walls moved in down RF, tailormade for Ike's stroke

Eric Hosmer.... a trendy pick i know, but i see him moving into 1st Rd / early 2nd Rd nextyr... and can be had in 5th ( potential votto-esque statline)

David Freese.... torrid pace in playoffs, which i think will carry over and provide 3rd-6th round value

Neil Walker.... batting cleanup thisyr and wont hurt u in any stats... solid hitter who could have "Michael Young-esque" type of year (high RBIs / Avg, with mid-high teen HR totals) and from 2nd base, thats awesome

Jake Peavy.... only problems have been health in last few years, reports say hes 100% healthy and he can be had very late.... upside is tremendous

Josh Johnson.... could contend for Cy Young and ranked outside the top 100 on yahoo, his ADP is higher but still, great value

You own every one of those guys on the team in your sig. I have to think you might be just a little bit biased.

[CyboNinja]

Drew Stubbs.