Buying as a late round (15+ in a 12 teamer). Selling if you want to draft him based on his stats from last year. Unless he starts to miss more bats and walk a lot less people, I don't see him being able to repeat last year's success.
Really going to depend on how his owner feels about him. For this year only, I wouldn't go out of my way, but if his owner wants to be "clever" and "sell high" on his shiny rate stats last year, I might bite. The prevailing opinion on Hellickson is that he's due for an ERA regression and I feel like people are undervaluing his K potential.
I think that is fine. I think he will be better than people think. Most players get better each year and most people point to his unsustainable BABIP for why he will regress. But he could also pitch better and still put up last years numbers. So taking him in the second half of the draft limits the risk.
"In the beginning the Universe was created. This has made a lot of people very angry and has been widely regarded as a bad move."- Douglas Adams
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by angels7777 » Tue Mar 27, 2012 3:34 am 
