Kimbos Beard wrote:Thanks for the thoughts. Originally I was all set on Morse, but I begun to second guess my self for the very reasons you state. My keepers offer me alot of the power stats, HR and RBI, which is exactly what I would be getting more of with Morse. So I think Choo's across the board production while maybe not as sexy as Morse numbers might be better suited.
I see Morse improving this year, mainly in the R + RBI department. This is based on Werth rebounding, Zimmerman staying healthy, and Harper having an impact when he is called up. I do not think Morse will improve much upon his HR total as he hits too many ground balls. I think 30 is about right, maybe 35 with some luck.
Choo is certainly a risk, but remember that he is one year removed from two back to back top 40 fantasy performances (including pitchers). While he was healthy last year, his BABIP was uncharacteristically low, which led to not-so-great numbers. This could be attributed to either declining skills or injury (or both), but I think it was due to nagging injuries. The three things going for Choo are his age (29, prime), his lack of past injuries (2009-2010 were clean), and the improved lineup in Cleveland compared to 2009-2010. After missing significant time at the start of 2008 (with an arguably worse injury than now, elbow vs. lat) he went on to post elite numbers during the second half. No guarantee that this will happen again, but this to me proved he took his rehab seriously.
Morse is certainly the safer pick. And you can't go wrong playing it safe. But Choo could return to top form and outproduce Morse. And the difference between their current draft spots is negligible. Just go with your gut...