Finding Safe Fantasy Pitchers-a crude study

[reiser]

So Fangraphs released their best bullpens list this morning, and it got me thinking about potential starters, and perhaps a crude way to find an elusive stat in fantasy, wins.
http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.ph ... -pitchers/

I decided to take that a step further and see if any of the worst bullpens also had the worst defenses. I ranked Team Defenses by DRS and UZR/150 for 2011, and for 2010-2011 and then matched them up with the FG Bullpen ranking. Here is what I found. I'd love to hear your thoughts on any borderline pitchers this might effect.
Bottom 10 Bullpen & Defense
Astros/Astros
Cubs/Cubs
Marlins/Marlins
Mets/Mets
Orioles/Orioles

Bottom 10 Defense, Middle Tier Bullpen (FG Bullpen Ranking)
Phillies/19
Pirates/14
White Sox/11

Top 10 Defense, Middle Tier Bullpen
Rays/17
Diamondbacks/15
Giants/13

Top 10 Defense & Bullpen
Angels/Angels
Reds/Reds
Rangers/Rangers

[silverZ]

Interesting. I wonder if there is a more in depth look at the effect that bullpens and defence have on SP wins. As it is this info can be used as a tie breaker when picking between two similarly valued pitchers. Ballpark effect still trumps defence/bullpen though, right?