Which first rounder................

[Skin Blues]

If Matt Kemp doesn't go 40/40 then I feel sorry for whoever drafts him, he'll be a huge bust.

[Tavish]

If Miguel Cabrera doesn't hit .330 and drive in 110 he is going to be a major bust.

[bigh0rt]

If Miguel Cabrera doesn't hit .330 and drive in 110 he is going to be a major bust.

Is this before or after the All-Star Break?

[ayebatter]

I'll take Longoria because he has yet to ever perform like a first rounder or top 20 for that matter but goes top 8 anyway.

Although I think he should be the last guy drafted in a 15 team 1st round, I think Ellsbury is the riskiest.

[AussieDodger]

If Miguel Cabrera doesn't hit .330 and drive in 110 he is going to be a major bust.

Drinking and driving is bad mmkay

[cordscords]

Bautista. Hit .257 after the break, much more in line with his career numbers. "Only" hit 12 bombs after the break. And lets be honest, 2004-2009 will always be in the back of our minds before drafting him.

I have him down for .265 35 HR. Not worth the #4/#5 pick to me.

[HOOTIE]

Longoria for sure
Ellsbury close

[BigLebowski]

Ellsbury
Bautista

Those are the two I'd wager on in that order. I've drafted Bautista so I hope its Ellsbury

[SecretAgentMan]

Kemp...his 2010 was not so great....nor was his 2008. He likely will not be a complete bust, but #1 overall?...we shall see.

Ellsbury...where did that power come from?

Justin Upton...remember 2010? or 2009 for that matter? Last year he managed to stay healthy for the first time in his career and he cut down the Ks some...And then there is always the worry he hangs out with his broher some more and gets those Ks back up to 150+ lol.

Longoria...Even in a bad year for him where he was playing hurt he went 31/99 and hit 244. I can't see him being a bust unless he gets hurt.

[Beeblebrox]

Will be the biggest bust this year?

Cabrera-Pujols-Kemp-Bautista-Braun-Votto-Cano-A.Gon-Ellsbury-Longoria-Fielder-Pedroia-Upton-C.Gon

I've got 7 of those guys in my 12-team 10-keeper league. I've acquired Pujols, Kemp, Bautista, Braun, and Pedroia in various deals over the past 2 years, grabbed Ellsbury off the WW and stashed him when he was hurt in '10, and I've kept Upton ever since I drafted him back in '09.

So since I certainly hope it's not going to be any of those guys....I'm gonna say Longoria or Fielder.