Ironclad =/= best. Offense is way down, what do you expect.
My post didn't really make any sense or at least it didn't say what I meant
. I just don't think that the top 7 is ironclad at all, no reason the 11th pick should be drafted differently than any of these guys. I can somewhat see an argument for Braun or Kemp being a step ahead of the rest but none of the other guys are really any more valuable than the next group of players drafted.
To pull some 2 year values from forecaster since I have it handy.
Cabrera - $81
Tulo - $68
Cano - $71
Braun - $92
Bautista - $80
Pujols - $91
Ellsbury - $83 (used his last 2 healthy years)
AGon - $76 (the padres year depresses this due to the R/RBI or it would be $80+)
Votto - $87
Kemp - $89 (and that includes a bad year!)
Give Tulo and Cano a small boost for positional scarcity and you have all of these guys about the same value with maybe Kemp/Pujols/Braun being a step ahead of the rest. The order you choose to put them in is really about upside vs safety. The least upside guy is probably Cabrera but he is also the safest. The highest upside guys are the 5 category guys but all of those guys have had a big year and a smaller year so they are more volatile.