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7th pick 10-team H2H draft question

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7th pick 10-team H2H draft question

Postby thefreshest » Sat Mar 10, 2012 8:43 pm

Hello all,

I have the 7th pick in a 10-team H2H draft just curious who you all would take in my position. I am leaning towards Justin Upton and then someone like Longoria. I haven't played a H2H before so I was thinking Upton would be a good first pick for this format but I would probably be passing up on Votto/Gonzalez/Ellsbury/or even Braun. Just curious to your thoughts on who you would pick at the 7th pick and maybe a follow up pick into the 2nd round.

Thanks!
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Re: 7th pick 10-team H2H draft question

Postby Ender » Sat Mar 10, 2012 8:48 pm

3 OF league or 5 OF league. With 10 teams you have so much depth that I would probably just ignore positional scarcity and go with the best player. I wouldn't even think of touching Longoria though, way too much risk to be taking him that high and he should last until the 2nd round.
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Re: 7th pick 10-team H2H draft question

Postby GiantsFan14 » Sat Mar 10, 2012 9:25 pm

I think there's a pretty clear top 7 this year. I wouldn't really consider anyone but these guys.

Braun
Pujols
Cabrera
Kemp
Bautista
Tulo
Votto
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Re: 7th pick 10-team H2H draft question

Postby Ender » Sat Mar 10, 2012 11:12 pm

No reason to not include Adrian Gonzalez if you are including Votto imo. No real reason to think Bautista is more valuable than Upton/Ellsbury/Cargo either since all of them matched him in production last year. No reason to think Tulo has more value than Cano since Cano has outearned him over the past 3 years. This is a really deep 1st round this year. I cringe every time I see that top 7 list because it honestly makes no sense at all given what the next 4 or 5 players have done over the past 2 seasons.
Last edited by Ender on Sun Mar 11, 2012 12:04 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: 7th pick 10-team H2H draft question

Postby silverZ » Sun Mar 11, 2012 12:02 am

GiantsFan14 wrote:I think there's a pretty clear top 7 this year. I wouldn't really consider anyone but these guys.

Braun
Pujols
Cabrera
Kemp
Bautista
Tulo
Votto


This list is nails.
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Re: 7th pick 10-team H2H draft question

Postby rjforlife » Sun Mar 11, 2012 1:08 am

I concur with the list, its as ironclad a top 7 as there has been in many years.
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Re: 7th pick 10-team H2H draft question

Postby Ender » Sun Mar 11, 2012 1:21 am

rjforlife wrote:I concur with the list, its as ironclad a top 7 as there has been in many years.


It is the weakest top 7 I've seen in 10 years to be honest! I don't get it at all.
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Re: 7th pick 10-team H2H draft question

Postby GiantsFan14 » Sun Mar 11, 2012 2:11 am

Ender wrote:
rjforlife wrote:I concur with the list, its as ironclad a top 7 as there has been in many years.


It is the weakest top 7 I've seen in 10 years to be honest! I don't get it at all.


Ironclad =/= best. Offense is way down, what do you expect.
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Re: 7th pick 10-team H2H draft question

Postby ayebatter » Sun Mar 11, 2012 2:35 am

Ender wrote:No reason to not include Adrian Gonzalez if you are including Votto imo. No real reason to think Bautista is more valuable than Upton/Ellsbury/Cargo either since all of them matched him in production last year. No reason to think Tulo has more value than Cano since Cano has outearned him over the past 3 years. This is a really deep 1st round this year. I cringe every time I see that top 7 list because it honestly makes no sense at all given what the next 4 or 5 players have done over the past 2 seasons.



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Re: 7th pick 10-team H2H draft question

Postby Ender » Sun Mar 11, 2012 12:30 pm

GiantsFan14 wrote:
Ironclad =/= best. Offense is way down, what do you expect.


My post didn't really make any sense or at least it didn't say what I meant :). I just don't think that the top 7 is ironclad at all, no reason the 11th pick should be drafted differently than any of these guys. I can somewhat see an argument for Braun or Kemp being a step ahead of the rest but none of the other guys are really any more valuable than the next group of players drafted.

To pull some 2 year values from forecaster since I have it handy.

Cabrera - $81
Tulo - $68
Cano - $71
Braun - $92
Bautista - $80
Pujols - $91
Ellsbury - $83 (used his last 2 healthy years)
AGon - $76 (the padres year depresses this due to the R/RBI or it would be $80+)
Votto - $87
Kemp - $89 (and that includes a bad year!)



Give Tulo and Cano a small boost for positional scarcity and you have all of these guys about the same value with maybe Kemp/Pujols/Braun being a step ahead of the rest. The order you choose to put them in is really about upside vs safety. The least upside guy is probably Cabrera but he is also the safest. The highest upside guys are the 5 category guys but all of those guys have had a big year and a smaller year so they are more volatile.
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