12 Team 5x5...Please rate my Team

[jdelsas]

I recently drafted in a 12 Team 5x5 league. How does this team look heading into Spring Traing. TYIA

C: Yadier Molina
1B: Eric Hosmer
2B: Kelly Johnson
SS: Hanley Ramirez
3B: Brett Lawrie
IF: Adam Lind
OF: Ryan Braun
OF: Michael Bourn
OF: Carl Crawford
OF: Brett Gardner
UTIL: Chris Young
B: Gaby Sanchez
B: Ryan Roberts
B: Raul Ibanez

P: Tim Lincecum
P: Dan Haren
RP: Rafeal Betancourt
RP: Neftali Feliz
P: Tommy Hansen
P: Ubaldo Jimenez
P: Javy Guerra
B: Brandon McCarthy
B: Ted Lilly
B: Francisco Cordero

[jdelsas]

Forgot to mention, this is a H2H, redraft league. Thoughts anyone?

[jdelsas]

Bump. Hello, Hello, is there anybody out there? WHIR

[speeds102]

Your team looks to be pretty high risk. Hosmer is fine at first, and who knows his actual ceiling. I'm not a Johnson fan, so mediocre there. HRam, Lawrie, Lind will be strong spots. Your OF is full of potential, especially if Crawford can get healthy. I think Braun comes pretty close to matching what he did.. just a step below. Even though they lost Fielder, they picked up ARam. Overall, your pitching isn't too shabby. If Umbaldo regains his old form, look out! You may not have a 1st place team (as of right now), but top 3. Health of some of your players will be an issue.

[jdelsas]

Thank you for the input! I agree my team is pretty high risk with a lot of wildcards in the mix, but if all works out, I think this team has a good shot at making a solid run this year.

I would be interested in hearing other people's take on this as well. TYIA!!

[Simon Bonesteel]

Hi jdelsas, I'm sorry, but I'm a little more pessimistic on your team than speeds102 was. For one thing, a lot of the guys you picked (Johnson, Bourn, Gardner, Young, Roberts, Ibanez) are probably going to kill your AVG, and you're relying on guys like Hosmer, Hanley, and Crawford, who are no sure things for this year, to help you bounce back. To be honest, I think Hosmer and Lawrie are going to have some sophomore regression, and they might take you right along with it. Out of curiosity, how did you end up stuck with Kelly Johnson at 2B? Where were you when mid-range guys like Neil Walker and Jason Kipnis were getting drafted? A round number for each player drafted would probably help out your original post.

Next, you seem to have a low number of closers. Neither Neftali Feliz nor Francisco Cordero will be earning you saves this year, as Feliz will be moving to the Texas rotation, and Cordero signed as a setup man for Sergio Santos in Toronto. Cordero was really only valuable for his saves, as his ERA and K numbers have been declining for years now. At least Feliz could give you decent starter's numbers -- I'd predict something close to Alexi Ogando last season, both innings and numbers-wise. The only guys getting you saves on your team will be Betancourt and Guerra, the latter of whom might not keep his closer's chair. Even your rotation has a fair bit of risk in it - Hanson, Ubaldo, McCarthy, Lilly. And of course, watch out for Haren in the second half.

As I mentioned, I'd be interested to see which round numbers you chose each player; in the meantime, you might look into some trades, at the very least for more closers.