cordscords wrote:His FIP has been over 4.20 the last two seasons. He's never been a power pitcher, but his Swinging Strike % has declined 3 straight years. He just doesn't present that top 15 upside as previously mentioned. He can be a solid back end guy filling out a teams rotation, but at age 36 that's it. The wheels could start to fall off the track. I'd rather take McCarty as a WHIP guy, or draft Johan hoping he's the comeback player of the year.
First off, his FIP has been a little higher than his ERA in each of the last 5 seasons. He just keeps beating the system.
Second, when someone AVERAGES a 1.13 WHIP over 5 seasons and still gets overlooked, there is an issue.
And finally, you can knockin his age all you want, but Ted Lilly ended 2011 with a BANG! His post all-star break numbers last year were:
14 starts, 2.94 ERA, 0.99 WHIP, 85 IP, 80 K's, .183 BAA
And as you mentioned, Ted Lilly isnt a power pitcher, so the 36 years of age is a little less frightening
And the best part is... NOBODY IS ASKING LILLY TO CARRY THEIR FANTASY PITCHING STAFF!
He is being drafted as a back of the rotation guy, while posting numbers you might ask from your #2 or #3 starter. You arent wasting
a high pick on him. When such consistency and reliability can be had this late in the draft, you dont pass it up.