MasterX1918 wrote:I think Wells is a safer pick, but thats just me. Even when Vernon Wells was at his worst last year the guy still managed to blast 25 homers, if that same power carries over to this season and he manages to bring his contact rate to normal levels he could have a fantastic year hitting behind Pujols (.270, 25 homers and 80 rbis is what i'm feeling). Call me an optimist, but Wells only drawback could be being pressed for playing time by phenom Mike Trout.
Jason Bay is a health risk with that rib issue and he can't figure out how to hit in citi field, not to mention he's hitting in a considerably worst lineup. However both issues could both be subsided with Citi field moving its fences in and Bay being healthy (i've yet to read about any setbacks). However, when you get down to the 20+ rounds and you're stuck deciding between Wells and Bay you really can't make a "correct" choice, forecasting either guy to have a big year is like reaching into a bag of trash and hoping to pull out a gem. Both players carry a large amount of inherent risk and it would be tough to consider one safer than the other.
I believe the projected opening day lineup through the first 5 batters for the Angels goes like this:
That to me sounds like a good oppurtunity for massive RBI production from both Hunter and Wells.
Jason Bay on the other hand has to hope for an Ike Davis breakout and a David Wright bounce back AND he needs to bounce back in order to have good RBI production.
I prefer Vernon Wells. Yes Mike Trout is knocking on the door, but Wells has the luxury of a DH slot, and I still feel the OF spot is his to lose. I'm hoping wells starts the season off well so they have no reason to pull him. Given a full season, Wells is a 30 HR 100 RBi sleeper.
On a side note, I'm not sure Mike Trout will be so great right off the bat. He only has had 2 minor seasons and hasnt seen a triple A at bat yet either. Not to mention he didnt wow anybody in his short time in the majors last season. I'm not big on Trout at all this year and he still needs a little more seasoning before he lands on my fantasy team. Just my opinion.