I'd probably just stay boring and go Pujols, MCab, Kemp, Votto but to me they are all very similar in overall value so it wouldn't really matter which one I got. I'd love to just pick 4th and take whoever is left.
MCab moving to 3B worries me a lot, I just don't see how he can stay healthy at that position given his body. Pujols obviously has some chinks in his peripherals. I go Kemp with the #1 pick, he might not be the best baseball player of the bunch but the SB just elevate his value so much.
Is it really a health issue to play 3B? What on earth is he going to be doing that's so different? Fielding is essentially the exact same, except he has to throw the ball to first a few times per game instead of running to cover first on every single ground ball. He has to charge for bunts, which he already had to do sometimes anyway. Unless he hurts his arm from throwing the ball more often, I don't see it as an issue.
Cabrera will probably be my pick if I had #1. I think he's the best hitter in the game, avoids injury, isn't changing teams/leagues, and he's till in his 20s. He also has Prince Fielder batting behind him this year so he should be scoring a lot more runs.
Last edited by Skin Blues on Thu Feb 16, 2012 10:14 am, edited 2 times in total.
That is based purely on projections though. I'd also take into account any information you have on the players. Like Adrian, I am very concerned with his shoulder fatigue last year, which led to his power drop. I'm not as concerned about Cabrera moving to 3B, because I feel the Tigers will do everything in their power to keep his bat in the lineup and healthy. I do not believe they will gamble on keeping him at 3B, if things get dicey.
Is it really a health issue to play 3B? What on earth is he going to be doing that's so different? Fielding is essentially the exact same, except he has to throw the ball to first a few times per game instead of running to cover first on every single ground ball. He has to charge for bunts, which he already had to do sometimes anyway. Unless he hurts his arm from throwing the ball more often, I don't see it as an issue
It is much harder on your knees and back as well as your shoulder from throwing. 3B is right up there with 2B for injury risk. If you follow the defensive spectrum you are pretty much also following the injury risk by position. 3B is particularly hard on larger guys. On top of that any change in positions increases your injury risk, granted he is a natural 3B so it is lesser for him but it is still there. His injury risk was almost nil at 1B but it is significant at 3B. Even if healthy I don't have him outproducing Kemp or Pujols though mostly because he doesn't steal bases. Without the move to 3B I might have talked myself into taking him #1 because he was the lowest risk of the 3 but with the move it just isn't enough.
His current MDP of 4.4 is very accurate for what I value his worth in leagues where OBP and SLG are counted. In leagues where AVG is more heavily favored, I rate him 9th best among hitters. In those leagues, I'll let someone else have him that early and get better value elsewhere.
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by OneLoveBoomer » Thu Feb 16, 2012 9:27 am 
