First shot, based primarily on Ks, WHIP and ERA projections, with minimal adjustments for opportunities for holds and saves. Tell me who I am missing, who's ranked too high or low, etc.
Tier 1 Sergio Romo Kenley Jansen Tyler Clippard =============== Tier 2 Jonny Venters Joaquin Benoit David Robertson Sean Marshall Eric O'Flaherty Scott Downs Rafael Soriano Joel Peralta Jim Johnson Greg Holland ================ Tier 3 Koji Uehara Mike Adams Vinnie Pestano Antonio Bastardo Al Alburquerque Joel Carreno Aroldis Chapman Fernando Salas Edward Mujica Octavio Dotel Kameron Loe Francisco Rodriguez Fautino De Los Santos Darren Oliver Darren O'Day Josh Lindblom Jose Veras Jesse Crain Tony Sipp David Hernandez Kerry Wood Bill Bray Matt Reynolds Marc Rzepczynski =============== Tier 4 Eduardo Sanchez Randy Choate Rex Brothers Jared Hughes Tim Dillard Yoshinori Tateyama Lance Lynn Matt Belisle Takashi Saito Ramon Ramirez Brandon Kintzl Troy Patton Mark Melancon Casey Janssen Ernesto Frieri Luke Gregerson Joe Smith Rich Thompson Francisco Cordero Alfredo Aceves Mike Dunn Mike Gonzalez Hong-Chih Kuo Nick Masset Juan Abreu Glen Perkins Chris Resop Joe Thatcher Jonathan Broxton LaTroy Hawkins Steve Cishek ====================== Tier 5 Matt Guerrier Joey Devine Bobby Parnell Addison Reed Brad Lidge Sean Burnett Mitchell Boggs Evan Meek Jason Isringhausen Wesley Wright Jeff Samardzija Jake McGee Chad Qualls Clay Hensley Arthur Rhodes Jon Rauch Fernando Rodriguez Zach Braddock Andrew Carpenter Ryan Franklin Chris Ray Brandon Lyon Fernando Rodney
"I don't want to play golf. When I hit a ball, I want someone else to chase it."
I always figured that Jansen would be first in line for saves opportunity in LA. If Guerra falters, which he will, then I can see Jansen closing games by the end of May. I figured that would be enough to pull him out of the first tier.
But that's what I love about the cafe, figure this out in February instead of the day after the draft.
Is Pestano locked into the 8th inning, Tav? What don't you like about Clippard?
Jonboy, I'm ranking holders not simply on their contribution to holds, but on their overall contribution. That means a guy like Jansen who has a chance to earn saves, too, gains value, even though you may lose his holds.
"I don't want to play golf. When I hit a ball, I want someone else to chase it."
GotowarMissAgnes wrote:Is Pestano locked into the 8th inning, Tav? What don't you like about Clippard?
It should be between Sipp and Pestano. Depending on how much weight you want to put into how secure they are with the 8th inning vs the 7th I could see Pestano being in the middle of the 2nd tier.
As far as Clippard, I always get nervous when a RP is following up back-to-back seasons when they pushed 90 IP. More or less a personal preference since I don't believe there is any hard evidence that it leads to problems. Just feels like I've just been burned by pitchers that fit that mold more often than not.
GotowarMissAgnes wrote:Thanks for the catch, Spuds.
Is Pestano locked into the 8th inning, Tav? What don't you like about Clippard?
Jonboy, I'm ranking holders not simply on their contribution to holds, but on their overall contribution. That means a guy like Jansen who has a chance to earn saves, too, gains value, even though you may lose his holds.
Thanks for the clarification. By going on that criteria, then Jansen is undoubtedly a tier one MR.
GotowarMissAgnes wrote:Jonboy, I'm ranking holders not simply on their contribution to holds, but on their overall contribution. That means a guy like Jansen who has a chance to earn saves, too, gains value, even though you may lose his holds.
Agreed. In the one league I play that counts holds, I'm looking for a) elite k-rate/ratios and b) those solid next-in-line guys, particularly on teams that appear to have the most tenuous closer situations. It's easier to find holds on the wire during the year; having a newly minted closer already on your roster when the in-season change is made: priceless.
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by GotowarMissAgnes » Sun Feb 05, 2012 1:43 pm 
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