Would I be crazy? Keeper league - Round 1

[medium_robin]

I'm very excited for the fantasy baseball season to start! Got fantasy baseball on the brain!!

I'm picking 3rd. My keepers are Ellsbury, J. Upton, mcCutchen, Beltre, Castro, M. Stanton, b. lawrie, and D. Jennings. Weird league. Long story how I ended up with that mix. So I'm OF heavy. 9 team league. 3OF/2Util. We keep 5 (plus up to 3 "prospects"). Max keeper length is 3 years.

Lots of big bats available this draft. Kemp, pujols, Miggy Cabrera, Tulo, Fielder to name a few. Top SP this time around too (Doc, Verlander, etc). One other bat available is Evan Longoria.

Picking 3rd, I'm all for best player available. I am guessing Cabrera and Tulo go 1-2. Would I be crazy to go Longoria at 3? I already have Beltre. But Longo is young (entering his prime now), went 30/100 with a crazy low BABIP in only 460 AB's last season. My only chance to get him is round 1. Would it be dumb to pass up Albert or Kemp?

[GiantsFan14]

Based on the names you mentioned, I'd go in this order:

Miggy
Pujols
Tulo
Kemp
Longoria

I do like Longoria this year, but I couldn't see taking him if any of the above four are available.

[fast dogs]

yea you wouldn't pass 1 of the top 4 to take Longoria there

[praetorian77]

If I'm you I'm taking pujols... Kemp could even go before you but with the outfielders u have already I wouldn't draft Kemp... If Cabrera is there u jump on him, stranger things have happened in drafts... But with dual eligibility he is probably going to be number one pick.

In all who would have better year for u? Pujols or Longoria? I'm petty sure you can count more on pujols than Longoria...

I lived in stl last year and everyone, talking heads, radio show hosts, fans, all of them were complaining about pujols "down" year... Well if that was a down year then it still beats Longoria.

[medium_robin]

I figured as much. I love Miggy, Tulo and Longoria. Albert makes me nervous because he's oldest of that bunch and his numbers have declined each of the last 3 seasons. Will he still be worthy of a top spot in 2 years? And Kemp has me worried because nobody else on that team can hit.

[HOOTIE]

I figured as much. I love Miggy, Tulo and Longoria. Albert makes me nervous because he's oldest of that bunch and his numbers have declined each of the last 3 seasons. Will he still be worthy of a top spot in 2 years? And Kemp has me worried because nobody else on that team can hit.

Lineup effect has proven to have very little value.
Who lead in rbis last year? And WAR?
Kemp.

Pujols gets way too much love imo, in the Cafe.
I take Kemp, Miggy, Tulo WAY above Pujols.

[Urban Cohorts]

I would take Miggy, Tulo, Pujols, and Kemp before Longoria.

[kidsilk]

I wouldn't take Longo that high. Take Pujols or Kemp. With your OF logjam I probably would take Pujols, hell he is still good for 300, 35,100, 100. Hard to beat that with your number one pick.

please help

viewtopic.php?t=438556

[MaudDib]

Take Pujols. The thing about Pujols is how consistent he is. So he had a down year last year but only compared to what he has done in the past. Compared to pretty much everyone else, it was all-star worthy. I like Longoria and I could see him having a big year as he starts to enter his prime years but you don't have a 1B and after Pujols/Cabrera who is left? Last thing you want is to be stuck with two 3B and no 1B.

[medium_robin]

If I took Kemp or if Tulo fell, I would be banking on Teixeira being around at the end of Round 2. Or fall back on a Hosmer/Howard type later in the draft.

I'm big on "best player" approach so I have no fear of overloading on OF or any other position. That stuff tends to work itself out through injuries or trades.