This is related to a different thread I started but this takes a different angle. While I do believe Choo is clearly the better player here, why are they ranked so far apart? Below are their last few years stats. If you believe in guys who have cycling off and on years, Rios would technically be due. If Rios can even produce 80% of what Choo can, I think I'd consider making a move.
Choo Year TeamG AB R H HR RBI BB KO SB CS BA OBP SLG 2011 CLE 85 313 37 81 8 36 36 78 12 5 0.2588 0.3436 0.3898 2010 CLE 144 550 81 165 22 90 83 118 22 7 0.3000 0.4009 0.4836 2009 CLE 156 583 87 175 20 86 78 151 21 2 0.3002 0.3942 0.4889
See, I would much rather have Choo, (and I'm a longtime Rios owner/sucker). Rios is such a wild card each year that you don't know if you get the tepid guy, the decent enough guy, or the 20/20 guy. He'll have bursts of great months, but then slip under a shell and not come out for weeks. Very unpredictable and frustrating.
Choo, on the other hand, is a victim of injuries. However, as evidenced by his previous years, gets a consistent 20/20 and .300 average. There is definitely that risk of re-injury, but I would rather gamble on the guy who has shown at least some consistency than a guy that is hot and cold.
In 2008 I may have agreed with you given how Rios was going. However, things have changed for Rios. This could be a good year for Rios, or it could be another bad one. Choo is a better gamble in my opinion.
I like Choo more due to the stability he brings. Rios might outperform him, but Rios might also be unrosterable. You never know what you're going to get.
"If you believe in guys who have cycling off and on years, Rios would technically be due" Sometimes you look for ways to believe in what you want to believe in As I recall, there was more than just the dropoff from Choo to Rios to dislike about your related thread. Rios has a long history of trickery, if you are in a rebuilding year theres worse guys to take a chance on, but he's someone thats worn out his welcome for many fantasy players. Theres a good reason they are ranked so far apart to me
fast dogs was cheaing, but I agree with most of you. they both could put up the same type of production, but Rios is a much larger risk. thanks for the input.