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BaseballNotebook.com

Postby Paws » Wed Jan 18, 2012 11:46 pm

Has anyone here used Baseballnotebook.com?
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Re: BaseballNotebook.com

Postby MashinSpuds » Thu Jan 19, 2012 9:15 am

I have not used it, but it's a pity that they're only going pre-season forecasts only per the note from the site's main guy. Too bad there's no real preview to get an idea of what you'd be getting either.

Well, good luck in your decision.
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Re: BaseballNotebook.com

Postby reiser » Thu Jan 19, 2012 3:24 pm

I've used the service before. The projections are solid, and if you are doing multiple leagues and looking for an edge, it might be worth it. I recall the price being in the $20 range, which means that it's certainly a better investment than your typical overpriced roto mag.
The other thing that's really interesting is he really sticks his neck out on sleeper forecasting. Which isn't to say that BN is a secret holy grail or anything, just that I think there's a lot more scouting than the typical mechanical system.

You might ask why I no longer get the projections. Well, I noticed in several studies comparing various projection sets, most of them slightly outperform simple 3 year averages, and a whole bunch actually do worse. There may be more recent studies showing XYZ projections are the the greatest ever, but then...why would they share that? :)

So depending on how much time you want to spend on your research, you could just create a draft board off of 3 year averages yourself. Or you could grab Marcel, which is a projection set that uses a weighted 3 year average (more weight on recent data). All of which ultimately is going to lead you to the MDP spreadsheet, where you can then decide who is undervalued and overvalued.
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