Very well done, a lot of hard work involved in that
Food for thought though. One reason I thoroughly enjoy J35J's projections is due to his brief explanations of the projections. Even if it were only for the top some odd players or certain players that seem out of the norm. Now this would be a lot of extra work (something I certainly wouldn't have time for) but just something I thought I would mention.
Great work regardless though, I'm sure this among other things will help significantly come draft day. Thanks!
skjelstrom wrote:Very well done, a lot of hard work involved in that
Food for thought though. One reason I thoroughly enjoy J35J's projections is due to his brief explanations of the projections. Even if it were only for the top some odd players or certain players that seem out of the norm. Now this would be a lot of extra work (something I certainly wouldn't have time for) but just something I thought I would mention.
Great work regardless though, I'm sure this among other things will help significantly come draft day. Thanks!
thanks. i hope to go through at some point and leave some comments, but i'm kind of busy getting the projections themselves finished (still have to do RP), and writing articles for the cafe. definitely something i'll consider though.
I actually agree with the auction values on Tulo for what it is worth, he is being drafted too early. Considering it bunches him in with a bunch of $35 players I think taking him 1st out of that bunch at pick #8 is a very reasonable place for him. I don't see any reason to think he has more value than Cano though, positional scarcity of SS just isn't that much bigger than 2B in leagues with a MI slot and Cano has a healthier track record and has just been better so far in his career.
I think C are rated a bit too high in the action listing though, Santana in the 2nd round is just a horrible pick. Early C are a pure downside move, they just get hurt too often and the limited games makes it really hard for them to break out into a 1st round value. McCann is about where it is reasonable to start considering a C.
Ender wrote:I actually agree with the auction values on Tulo for what it is worth, he is being drafted too early. Considering it bunches him in with a bunch of $35 players I think taking him 1st out of that bunch at pick #8 is a very reasonable place for him. I don't see any reason to think he has more value than Cano though, positional scarcity of SS just isn't that much bigger than 2B in leagues with a MI slot and Cano has a healthier track record and has just been better so far in his career.
I think C are rated a bit too high in the action listing though, Santana in the 2nd round is just a horrible pick. Early C are a pure downside move, they just get hurt too often and the limited games makes it really hard for them to break out into a 1st round value. McCann is about where it is reasonable to start considering a C.
I'm writing an article describing how I computed rankings and values. At some point I'll discuss how I handled position scarcity to get catchers valued where they are and we can discuss other ways of looking at it. For now I think you just have to chalk it up to GF's screwy projections!
Ender wrote:I actually agree with the auction values on Tulo for what it is worth, he is being drafted too early. Considering it bunches him in with a bunch of $35 players I think taking him 1st out of that bunch at pick #8 is a very reasonable place for him. I don't see any reason to think he has more value than Cano though, positional scarcity of SS just isn't that much bigger than 2B in leagues with a MI slot and Cano has a healthier track record and has just been better so far in his career.
I think C are rated a bit too high in the action listing though, Santana in the 2nd round is just a horrible pick. Early C are a pure downside move, they just get hurt too often and the limited games makes it really hard for them to break out into a 1st round value. McCann is about where it is reasonable to start considering a C.
the values aren't necessarily saying where someone should be drafted, you have to take risk and consistency into account along with MDPs to determine the best draft spot for each player. obviously i'm not drafting napoli or santana that high because of the risk of catchers and the fact that I can probably grab one of them in the 4th or 5th rounds based on MDPs.
This is awesome!! Great work and it's awesome that you put your work out there to be critiqued by everyone else. I'd just like to comment that I didn't see DH spots, specifically Ortiz, and I didn't see him listed as 1B. Didn't see Vlad either, although he's still teamless at this point.
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by skjelstrom » Sat Feb 04, 2012 3:35 pm 
Great work.
