ComBUSTible: Avoiding 2012 Land Mines - Fantasy Baseball Cafe 2014 Fantasy Baseball Cafe
100% Deposit Bonus for Cafe Members!

Return to Baseball Leftovers

ComBUSTible: Avoiding 2012 Land Mines

Moderator: Baseball Moderators

ComBUSTible: Avoiding 2012 Land Mines

Postby WebHamster » Thu Jan 12, 2012 12:35 am

Much figurative ink is spilled each year trying to find top fantasy sleepers, but there’s a facet of draft preparation much more integral to success: avoiding busts at the top of the draft and with your big-ticket auction buys. Think about it — even if you don’t draft the best sleepers heading into the season, [...]

http://www.fantasybaseballcafe.com/2012 ... stible.php
Image
WebHamster
Service Robot
Service Robot

User avatar
CafeholicCafe Writer
Posts: 24243
(Past Year: 408)
Joined: 15 Jan 2004
Home Cafe: Baseball

Re: ComBUSTible: Avoiding 2012 Land Mines

Postby Pogotheostrich » Thu Jan 12, 2012 12:46 pm

Nice job.

Is no one even a little worried about Kemp? I have him in a keeper and I can't forget about 2010. Did he take a step forward last year or was he just lucky?
Image
Pogotheostrich
Hall of Fame Hero
Hall of Fame Hero

User avatar
CafeholicFantasy ExpertCafe WriterMock(ing) DrafterEagle EyePick 3 Weekly WinnerLucky Ladders Weekly Winner
Posts: 21587
(Past Year: 357)
Joined: 9 Dec 2002
Home Cafe: Baseball
Location: St. Louis

Re: ComBUSTible: Avoiding 2012 Land Mines

Postby bigh0rt » Thu Jan 12, 2012 12:50 pm

Pogotheostrich wrote:Nice job.

Is no one even a little worried about Kemp? I have him in a keeper and I can't forget about 2010. Did he take a step forward last year or was he just lucky?
I worry about anybody who has the major piece of their value being so high being tied into them stealing 40 bases. If he's slowed even a tiny bit, his value takes a sharp plummet. I'll give him the benefit of the doubt, though.

- I'm not worried about Granderson at all.
- I'm a beWeaver. Two consecutive years of pitching at an excellent level, and while there may be regression, I actually feel like he's a guy I'm comfortable drafting at SP and having high expectations of.

Nice article. ;-D
Image
bigh0rt
Hall of Fame Hero
Hall of Fame Hero

User avatar
CafeholicCafe WriterGraphics ExpertMock(ing) DrafterEagle EyeInnovative MemberCafe MusketeerWeb SupporterPick 3 Weekly Winner
Posts: 24810
(Past Year: 375)
Joined: 3 Jun 2005
Home Cafe: Baseball
Location: Crowding The Plate

Re: ComBUSTible: Avoiding 2012 Land Mines

Postby mkultra » Thu Jan 12, 2012 1:14 pm

I'm amazed to see Longoria going in the first round. You're basically buying his September and upside while trying to forget his injury, batting average, and lack of speed. Could he put up First-Round numbers? Sure, but I think he's got a red flag as big as Ellsbury or Verlander.
mkultra
Major League Manager
Major League Manager

User avatar

Posts: 1339
(Past Year: 41)
Joined: 23 Jun 2004
Home Cafe: Baseball
Location: Brooklyn, NY

Re: ComBUSTible: Avoiding 2012 Land Mines

Postby Pogotheostrich » Thu Jan 12, 2012 1:17 pm

I think some of the concern about Weaver is his velocity. Some people just don't think you can consistantly be that good and K that many throwing 90 mph.
Image
Pogotheostrich
Hall of Fame Hero
Hall of Fame Hero

User avatar
CafeholicFantasy ExpertCafe WriterMock(ing) DrafterEagle EyePick 3 Weekly WinnerLucky Ladders Weekly Winner
Posts: 21587
(Past Year: 357)
Joined: 9 Dec 2002
Home Cafe: Baseball
Location: St. Louis

Re: ComBUSTible: Avoiding 2012 Land Mines

Postby bigh0rt » Thu Jan 12, 2012 2:12 pm

Pogotheostrich wrote:I think some of the concern about Weaver is his velocity. Some people just don't think you can consistantly be that good and K that many throwing 90 mph.
The only real spike year in K/9 was 2010. He was back to being a 7 and change K/9 guy last year. He's a guy who has performed well below his xFIP 3 seasons running, which leads me to believe that the way he gets batters out just isn't being reflected appropriately in those metrics. If he continues to use the array of pitches in his arsenal and put them where he wants, he'll keep motoring. Even at a 7.5 K/9, I see him as a Top 10 SP unless he gets injured. Figure a 3.15 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, and with the addition of Pujols to the lineup, 15 Wins all being on the relatively conservative side?
Image
bigh0rt
Hall of Fame Hero
Hall of Fame Hero

User avatar
CafeholicCafe WriterGraphics ExpertMock(ing) DrafterEagle EyeInnovative MemberCafe MusketeerWeb SupporterPick 3 Weekly Winner
Posts: 24810
(Past Year: 375)
Joined: 3 Jun 2005
Home Cafe: Baseball
Location: Crowding The Plate

Re: ComBUSTible: Avoiding 2012 Land Mines

Postby daullaz » Thu Jan 12, 2012 8:10 pm

Pogotheostrich wrote:Nice job.

Is no one even a little worried about Kemp? I have him in a keeper and I can't forget about 2010. Did he take a step forward last year or was he just lucky?


I wouldn't take Kemp No. 1, if that's what you're asking. I definitely trust Cabrera and Pujols more with the No. 1 overall pick.
Image
daullaz
Head Scribe
Head Scribe

User avatar
EditorCafeholicCafe WriterCafe RankerMock(ing) DrafterEagle EyeCafe MusketeerPick 3 Weekly WinnerSweet 16 SurvivorLucky Ladders Weekly Winner
Posts: 4884
(Past Year: 116)
Joined: 17 Jan 2005
Home Cafe: Baseball
Location: Babel

Re: ComBUSTible: Avoiding 2012 Land Mines

Postby Paws » Fri Jan 13, 2012 12:11 am

I total agree about Ellsbury. Wouldn't supprise me to see home runs drop. Unfortunately I have him in a keeper league. :-o
Paws
College Coach
College Coach

User avatar

Posts: 235
(Past Year: 2)
Joined: 11 Nov 2006
Home Cafe: Baseball

Re: ComBUSTible: Avoiding 2012 Land Mines

Postby GiantsFan14 » Fri Jan 13, 2012 12:16 am

Paws wrote:I total agree about Ellsbury. Wouldn't supprise me to see home runs drop. Unfortunately I have him in a keeper league. :-o


i wouldn't call that unfortunate, even if the home runs drop (which they will), he's still incredibly valuable and a early second round pick at worst.
Image
25
@FBC_GiantsFan14 on Twitter
GiantsFan14
Baseball Scribe
Baseball Scribe

User avatar
EditorCafeholicResponse TeamCafe WriterGraphics ExpertMock(ing) DrafterWeb SupporterPick 3 Weekly Winner
Posts: 14132
(Past Year: 453)
Joined: 12 Mar 2006
Home Cafe: Baseball
Location: BUSTER HATH ARRIVED

Re: ComBUSTible: Avoiding 2012 Land Mines

Postby kab21 » Fri Jan 13, 2012 1:32 am

If I thought Ellsbury was going to hit like he did in 2011 then I would take him #1/2 with Kemp. Picking him at the end of the first rd is expecting regression.
kab21
Hall of Fame Hero
Hall of Fame Hero

User avatar
CafeholicCafe WriterCafe Ranker
Posts: 5319
(Past Year: 181)
Joined: 24 Nov 2007
Home Cafe: Baseball

Next

Return to Baseball Leftovers

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: unioreimi and 14 guests

Forums Articles & Tips Sleepers Rankings Leagues


Today's Games
Thursday, Jul. 31
(All times are EST, weather icons show forecast for game time)

Chi White Sox at Detroit
(1:08 pm)
Colorado at Chi Cubs
(2:20 pm)
St. Louis at San Diego
(3:40 pm)
Philadelphia at Washington
(7:05 pm)
Seattle at Cleveland
(7:05 pm)
LA Angels at Baltimore
(7:05 pm)
Cincinnati at Miami
(7:10 pm)
indoors
Toronto at Houston
(8:10 pm)
Minnesota at Kansas City
(8:10 pm)
Pittsburgh at Arizona
(9:40 pm)
Atlanta at LA Dodgers
(10:10 pm)

  • Fantasy Baseball
  • Article Submissions
  • Privacy Statement
  • Site Survey 
  • Contact