I am working on research for an article, and I could use some help answering this 2 part question...
Part 1: In a standard 12-team league, what is the earliest round you are willing to draft a second year player?
Part 2: Which player are you willing to take during that round?
I am trying to see what draft philosophies there are regarding second year players. Any help from the members of the community would be greatly appreciated.
I've a pitcher this yr that I've ranked inside the top 80 overall, that I believe I can draft between picks 150-200, doing a Cafe mock right now and I'm going to find out soon. Other than that I normally shy away from bats with so little MLB face time in re-drafts.
I would wait until round 4 or 5 if its a keeper league, I'd wait a couple more rounds if there is a complete redraft each year . I'd make an exception for a player like Strasburg or Pujols who both have dominated right from their callup. I would go 2nd or 3rd round on a player of that caliber.
fantasygameday wrote:I find the responses very interesting.
All the votes that I have received on the Facebook page stated they would draft a 2nd year player as high as the second round.
Keep the responses coming!
It really depends, of course. If a player comes out and belts 40 HR batting .300 as a rookie you're treating them differently as other second year players who you're drafting with speculation on growth and potential. If a player is performing at an elite level you draft them where you would regardless of time served. They may take a small knock in redraft, but in a keeper I could see Round 2 in an extreme case.
bigh0rt wrote: If a player is performing at an elite level you draft them where you would regardless of time served.
Absolutely. I tend to take players on a case-by-case basis. Second-year player can by anything from a guy like Hosmer who came up relatively early and raked to Brad Peacock who had a breakout year in the minors followed by small-sample size MLB success.
Don't do drafts, only auction and NL league specific at that. As keepers, my general rule is to never keep a pitcher until after 1 and a half seasons. Somewhere around 15 starts in rookie season, then full season, then keep. Unless he's Strasburg as others have alluded to. However, right now I am debating a cheap Vance Worley as a keeper (but that is mainly due to being part of Phillies rotation). And then during auctions, I will only target second year players on a serious sleeper chance (i.e. Jose Altuve types in NL only as a MI and for around $3-4.) Last year got Mike Morse for $8 after a successful second half in 2010. But I keep second year players to 2 to 3 spots on a 29 man roster. Year three is my magic number.