Points league, pitching slightly weighted over hitting, 6 keepers, 10 teams. Pujols, Kershaw, Pedroia, Weaver, Reyes are my top five. I can keep Holliday but again am intrigued by Brett Lawrie's potential or I could hold onto Worley, Beachy, Pineda, or Minor. ALSO - I pick last in every round of the draft so anyone I don't keep I get minimal opportunity. Thx!
I think it depends on how I think i could do if I chose Lawrie and he was only average....could I still succeed in the league? Is the competition in the league so high that any little mistake could cost me? Usually 1 player isn't that much of a difference maker, especially when you are talking about your 6th keeper.
Holliday is 32 this year, coming off of injuries, and probably only keeper worthy for another couple years, where Lawrie could be keeper worthy for the next decade. Also at this point in their careers Lawrie has a higher upside going forward...even for this year, IMHO. As much as I do like Holliday I think the upside of keeping Lawrie and him succeeding over the next decade is a higher reward for your team than the downside of keeping Lawrie and him just being an average player.
So, have you won the league before and/or can contend in the top 3 even with a flop for a 6th keeper? I'd keep Lawrie.
Have you never won the league and don't generally finish top 3 and you think this might be your year and need to play it a little safer this year and next? I'd keep Holliday.