Is it for this year only?? I'm perplexed by the question, as Rookie drafts usually indicate some sort of keeper implications with them, so the thought would/should scope beyond just this year... At any rate...
I think Sands has a clearer path to getting regular AB than Rizzo in 2012. You can't assume that Rizzo will be moved and Sandsapalooza raked last September, hopefully boosting him to some more consistent play in 2012. If I have to take one based on expectations on this year alone, I'll go with Sands.
For now and for this year I'd say Sands based on opportunity. If Rizzo isn't moved, he's kind of blocked by the approximately 32 1B/OF/DH types on the roster.
I don't like my options if those are the only two. Sands has poor splits and is bound to platoon. Rizzo is just blocked. Gun to my head, I say Sands, cause he'll get more AB's without a trade for Rizzo.
Yes...i'm looking for good stats in 2012 and it is a keeper league. I hear Rizzo could go to cubs or rays. If Sands ends up in a platoon it would be the wrong side AB-wise. But would they really start Gwynn over him??? And how many at bats would he lose to Juan Rivera?
Assuming Rizzo is dealt and they both get 400 at bats, who would you go with?
edge27 wrote:Yes...i'm looking for good stats in 2012 and it is a keeper league. I hear Rizzo could go to cubs or rays. If Sands ends up in a platoon it would be the wrong side AB-wise. But would they really start Gwynn over him??? And how many at bats would he lose to Juan Rivera?
Assuming Rizzo is dealt and they both get 400 at bats, who would you go with?
Well with that 'if' it easily becomes Rizzo. Realistically, whichever one of the two gets more AB is going to be more valuable in 2012. Rumors speculate about players being moved all the time, and just because it would seem to make sense to various baseball scribes for the Padres to move one of their 1B/LF/DH type players doesn't mean they're actually going to, or that it will necessarily be Rizzo. If he is moved, however, into a situation where he gets AB, he's your guy.
edge27 wrote:Yes...i'm looking for good stats in 2012 and it is a keeper league. I hear Rizzo could go to cubs or rays. If Sands ends up in a platoon it would be the wrong side AB-wise. But would they really start Gwynn over him??? And how many at bats would he lose to Juan Rivera?
Assuming Rizzo is dealt and they both get 400 at bats, who would you go with?
Well with that 'if' it easily becomes Rizzo. Realistically, whichever one of the two gets more AB is going to be more valuable in 2012. Rumors speculate about players being moved all the time, and just because it would seem to make sense to various baseball scribes for the Padres to move one of their 1B/LF/DH type players doesn't mean they're actually going to, or that it will necessarily be Rizzo. If he is moved, however, into a situation where he gets AB, he's your guy.
Agreed. Wait it out as long as possible before having to declare which one your keeping.
In a keeper league I would take Rizzo regardless of how many AB he gets this year vs. Sands.
I really hope your team isn't relying on one of these guys to get a full season worth of AB because I don't see that happening barring a Rizzo trade. And if this is the case, where you need one of these guys to produce, is it fair to say you won't be THAT competitive? Or are you just looking for a non-starter who you can sub in when needed?
I have both these guys and in exact same position.
I have to say Sands. He fixed some whole in his swing and was on FIRE last Sept. That is something Rizzo has not proven he can do. He has a direct route for playing time and ultimately I fully expect Either to soon be out of favor with Kemp signed and Kershaw's contract coming. Yonder is going to be Pares 1B, he has age, slight pedigree advantage, and a better start in bigs (albiet small sample size). Rizzo is proabably going to be traded (again an if). But if he is traded, then he probably ends in Chicago. Most reports have hime directly linked to Cubs or traded to Rays then flipped to Cubs. More ifs though. That is a mixed bag. Bad line-up protection but Wrigley has become a haven for left-handed power hitters (17% more HR production) due to changing wind patterns. But with Rizzo's young age and bad team situation, his production is a couple years away. Even if he is a Ray, what does he bat; seventh?
Also, remember Davey Lopes in LA and a team commitment to running. With Sands low-end speed in the minors, I'd expect ten steals from him too.
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by edge27 » Tue Jan 03, 2012 11:00 pm 
