MaudDib wrote:I don't think it is that big of an assumption that he won't be in the rotation out of spring training. There is one spot open for the Red Sox rotation (unless I missed something or an injury occurs between now and opening day) so he has very little room for mistakes.
The only locks for the rotation are Lester, Beckett, and Buchholz. There are two remaining spots to fill. The candidates are Miller (Awful), Felix Doubront, Bowden, Aceves (who Cherington does not want to use as a starter) and Bard. Dice-K is out for at least half a season and Lackey is out for all of 2012.
Bard will prepare for spring training as a starter. We want to give him every chance to do that,” GM Ben Cherington said.
So, yes, I think it is a pretty big assumption to assume Bard loses out on BOTH spots to garbage like Miller or two prospects. Bowden hasn't started since 2010, was not great as a SP (in the minors) and can't pitch effectively in MLB as a reliever. Doubront was decent in the minors, but he still needs more time there IMO.
Bard hasn't started a game since 2007 and that was single A.
Why does this matter at all? Why are you basing Bard's potential success as a SP on a 61 IP A-Ball sample size from 2007? When he was 21/22 years old. If you go by these 61 innings, he doesn't even translate to being a mediocre MLB RP. In fact, he probably doesn't make the majors at all. By this logic, we are all supposed to throw out his actual MLB results?
Look at Brandon Morrow for someone similar. He made a transition from a RP to a SP with limited work in the minors as a starter (and his minor league SP stats were nothing compared to his RP stats). Yet he seems to pitch effectively now, even if his ERA doesn't say so. And he was older than Bard when this all occurred.
Should I assume that Aaron Crow and Chris Sale are going to flop as SP too (two good, young RP, with either no SP experience or limited with bad results)?