TribeIn2012 wrote:I would no doubt draft a catcher who can put up 30+ HR and walks 100+ times a year over a 1B who puts up basically the same numbers with a few more HR and RBI. How many catchers can hit 30 HR? 1. And how many 1B can hit .240 with 30-40 HR? A lot more than 1. Unless you already grab Posey or Martinez I wouldn't be able to defend taking Tex over Santana. I think it would be stupid.
So much wrong with this, I'm not sure where to begin...
Since when do walks have any merit when discussing fantasy value?
How many catchers can hit 30 HR? Well, only Napoli did it last year. If you're talking ceilings, I'd say Napoli, Santana, Arencibia, McCann, Weiters, and Jesus Montero will all be threats to pop 25+. Not exactly a rare feat for a catcher.
Teix has never hit as low as 240. His days of 300 might be over, but I'd reasonably expect his avg going forward to settle in the 260 to 280 range, given some hit rate regression upward.
BTW, Santana hit 239 last year. Granted, his hit rate was awful (although not as bad as Teix's... just saying...), but there's that.
So no, it's not stupid to go Teix over Santana. I'll take the extra 10+ HR and 30+ RBI out of a proven quantity all day over a catcher with potential.