Ellsbury's keeper value

[lbblue]

Just looking for opinions on what you guys think Ellsbury's value will be as a keeper. I'm in a 12 team roto keeper league with 5 keepers, which constitute the first 5 rounds of picks. It's kind of weird because we start 3 OF and it's designated as LF, CF, RF. Obviously I'm thrilled to have Ellsbury as a keeper but someone has thrown out an informal offer of BJ Upton and Heyward for Ellsbury. Tempting to be able to have a CF and RF keeper, mostly banking on Heyward's potential (Upton is a borderline keeper at that cost but is at least going to be a nice source of speed no matter where he ends up). Other for sure keepers are Tulo at SS, Kinsler at 2B, and probably Greinke at SP.

Do you guys think this is a career year for Ellsbury or do you expect this to be who he is for the next few years? Will the Sox be able to resign him? Will that matter in any category other than runs?

I guess ultimately it's a question of what you also think of Heyward. Thoughts?

[fast dogs]

BJ isn't really keeper worthy in a 60 keeper 36 starting OF league in my opinion

[lbblue]

BJ isn't really keeper worthy in a 60 keeper 36 starting OF league in my opinion

Yeah, Upton is really just a kicker in the deal and isn't great value as a keeper in this format but is a reasonable option as a starting CFer. It comes down to if you expect Ellsbury to consistently be a 20 HR 40 SB .300 AVG 100 R 80 RBI type of player and how you project Heyward going forward over the next however many years (no limit as to how long we can keep a player and it is not an auction format). Ellsbury certainly has the advantage in that he's a fantasy monster right now and Heyward has yet to prove he will be.