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Werth Trade Value? WHIR

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Werth Trade Value? WHIR

Postby Mateo de Lorenzo » Fri Jul 15, 2011 10:01 pm

This is a standard 5 x 5 roto league. My team is in 11th out of 12 places. So, now I am looking to the future.

Here are the rules for our keepers. Each team is allowed between 0 and 7 keepers. Each keeper is assigned a contract and when their contract expires, they return to the draft pool. Each team is limited to no more then 15 contract years. A keeper will cost the manager a draft pick three rounds prior to his draft position. For multi year drafts, each subsequent year player is kept, you lose a draft pick three years earlier. For example, if Joe Schmoe was drafted in 2009 in the 25th round and chosen as a keeper going into 2010 and given a four year contract, the manager would lose a draft pick in the 22nd round in 2010, 19th round in 2011, 16th round in 2012 and 13th round in 2013.

Each team also gets two minor league slots for keepers, which do not count towards the limits, so long as they start the season on the minor league roster.

So, I was approached about trading Jayson Werth, who is a current keeper and under contract for next year. Next year he will cost an 11th round draft pick.

My question is, what is Werth's worth? My roster is pretty irrelevant at this time as I am rebuilding so I will list only my keepers under contract for next year and beyond as well as the other teams roster. Advice on who I should request is greatly appreciated. Numbers in parenthesis are the draft pick round I would lose.

My Keepers:

Freddie Freeman, expires after 2014. (17, 14, 11)
Jose Tabata, expires 2012. (17)
Jayson Werth, expires 2012. (11)
Kendry Morales, expires 2012 (14)
Jamie Garcia, expires 2012. (17)

Minor leaguers: Lonnie Chisenhall (21), Eric Thames (25).

Also: Jeremy Hellickson (24), Adam Wainwright (14), Trevor Cahill (4), JP Arenciba (27), Shin Soo Choo (1), Ryan Zimmerman (1), Neil Walker (6)

I will not list any player that will be put back into the draft pool next year.

Howard Kendrick (6)
JJ Hardy (25)
Daniel Murphy (25)
Mike Napoli (10)
Michael Bourn (7)
Travis Snider (11)
Delmon Young (under contract, expires after next season) (15)
David Freese (12)
Mitch Moreland (18)
Brian Roberts (1)
Brandon Belt (minors) (17)
Josh Beckett (5)
Dan Haren (2)
Tim Hudson (9)
Joe Nathan (under contract, expires after next season) (17)
Huston Street (7)
Matt Garza (8)

All advice appreciated.
Please help me with analyzing my team? viewtopic.php?f=29&t=433592
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Re: Werth Trade Value? WHIR

Postby mpieco » Fri Jul 15, 2011 10:07 pm

Since Werth is coming very cheaply to whomever you trade him, I would expect good value. He's a 20/20 threat even in a very off year. 20/20 guys just don't grow on trees, you know?

I would rather sit on him, and expect a good second half/better 2nd year with the Nationals, since you're not very likely to get fair value for him because people will just look at his average and try to buy him cheaply. In a league like this, he should be anything but cheap. Since no matter what you don't get fair value, hold him.
(In reference to an Aaron Hill for David Price swap)

twinkypoop wrote:
mpieco wrote: You're my new hero if that gets accepted.


Trade accepted! Thanks for the help!
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Re: Werth Trade Value? WHIR

Postby Mateo de Lorenzo » Fri Jul 15, 2011 10:23 pm

mpieco wrote:Since Werth is coming very cheaply to whomever you trade him, I would expect good value. He's a 20/20 threat even in a very off year. 20/20 guys just don't grow on trees, you know?

I would rather sit on him, and expect a good second half/better 2nd year with the Nationals, since you're not very likely to get fair value for him because people will just look at his average and try to buy him cheaply. In a league like this, he should be anything but cheap. Since no matter what you don't get fair value, hold him.


Yeah, I was thinking the same thing, but in the back of my mind, I have been wondering what if he doesn't bounce back and his value only gets worse? Just weighing my options. Thanks for the input.
Please help me with analyzing my team? viewtopic.php?f=29&t=433592
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Re: Werth Trade Value? WHIR

Postby Mateo de Lorenzo » Fri Jul 15, 2011 10:32 pm

What about Brandon Belt and Mitch Moreland? Or Brandon Belt and Daniel Murphy? Would either of those give enough value?
Please help me with analyzing my team? viewtopic.php?f=29&t=433592
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