POWER POSTER wrote:For next year...I agree with you...
But I think by 2013 and especially 2014....group B will be much better than group A.
The problem with this kind of thing is projecting correctly. Every year there are guys who breakout and we immediately think they will be stars for the next 5 years and more often than not they don't. Latos is a great example from last year. If someone had asked this question, there is a good chance he would have been on the list instead of Pineda but he hasn't had the same kind success this year. Not to say he can't bring it back to that level but this is more to make the point that Pineda might not be this good. He is still very young and odds are he will have some growing pains. Strasburg is one that is very likely to become a star but there are still some questions surrounding him. First how does he come back from TJ, most guys come back with the same kind of stuff they had before and maybe even a little better. But there are guys that just don't come back that well. Liriano is a good example as he has not had the success most expected from him when came back. Then there have been certain scouts/prospect bloggers that have been worried about his arm action which could lead to possible injuries. We have already seen it and there is no saying that it won't continue to be an issue. I think he will be better than Brandon Morrow or Rich Harden but both have had their problems staying healthy.
So that is why group A is the choice because they are currently doing it. Now group A is older and likely to take a step back over the next 3 years but I still think they have a better probability of continued success than group B which has 2 guys with less than one year of experience combined.