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Swap Ogando for Garza?

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Swap Ogando for Garza?

Postby capitalh » Sat May 14, 2011 7:15 pm

12 team Yahoo H2H League. This is my team:

C - Buster Posey (SF - C,1B)
1B - Howie Kendrick (LAA - 1B,2B)
2B - Ben Zobrist (TB - 1B,2B,OF)
3B - Alex Gordon (KC - 3B,OF)
SS - Alexei Ramirez (CWS - SS)
OF - Carlos Gonzalez (Col - OF)
OF - Nick Swisher (NYY - OF)
OF - Jacoby Ellsbury (Bos - OF)
Util - Melky Cabrera (KC - OF)
Util - Jed Lowrie (Bos - 2B,3B,SS)
BN - Jason Bay (NYM - OF)
BN - Russell Martin (NYY - C)
DL - Pablo Sandoval (SF - 1B,3B) DL
DL - Ryan Zimmerman (Was - 3B) DL

SP - Jon Lester (Bos - SP)
SP - Shaun Marcum (Mil - SP)
RP - Huston Street (Col - RP)
RP - Kyle Farnsworth (TB - RP)
P - Tony Sipp (Cle - RP)
P - Alexi Ogando (Tex - SP,RP)
P - Josh Beckett (Bos - SP)
BN - Bud Norris (Hou - SP)
BN - Derek Lowe (Atl - SP)
BN - Mat Latos (SD - SP)

My pitching has been somewhat weak thus far in the season, and I had just picked up Ogando off Waivers. He turned in another lights out performance last night, but then I wandered over to Fangraphs to find an interesting article regarding his numbers, and why they could be significantly inflated right now (http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/index. ... ferential/). I try not to overvalue advanced stats, but his do seem rather telling.

A friend said he would flip Garza for Ogando if I wanted to trade. Garza also happens to be in the article mentioned above, as one of the players that should see his numbers getting better.

What do you think? Should I stop getting caught up in advanced stats and enjoy the ride? Or should I jump ship now and hope I sold at the right time. My pitching could use more stability!

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