I think Newton will probably go number 1, but I don't think he is going to be a successful NFL QB. The combination of his past discipline problems, the fact that he rarely was under center in college, and his questionable throwing accuracy do not bode well for him. He also was a run-first quarterback and look how those guys have fared in the NFL (JP Losman/Vince Young/Mike Vick is the exception). I think people are enamored by his record as a starter, his freakish athleticsm and his arm strength but it takes way more than freakish athleticism and arm strength to be a quality NFL QB.
I'm a Jet fan, I'm hoping they take one of Akeem Ayers/Cam Heyward/Brooks Reed/Phil Taylor in that order at #30.